← Whale Watch

tiancs

Predicting since Oct 202527,732 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.5K on Crypto markets since Oct 2025.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.0¢28¢+$13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.0¢26¢+$12
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢21¢+$10
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?UFC / MMAYes$01.0¢18¢+$9
Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢9.4¢+$4
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?CryptoNo$01.0¢55¢+$4
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYes$11.0¢8.3¢+$4
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢7.1¢+$3
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?CryptoYes$11.0¢5.7¢+$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$01.0¢5.2¢+$2
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$11.0¢4.9¢+$2
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$01.0¢3.4¢+$1
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$11.0¢3.0¢+$1
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoYes$01.0¢2.3¢+$1
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on January 12?WeatherYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on February 17?FinanceNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the State of the Union begin between 9:15PM and 9:30PM ET?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 30?FinanceDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1) - Toss Match Double Brisbane Heat WinnerCricketYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Adam Sandler attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?NBAYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel join the Board of Peace?PoliticsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ETCryptoDownResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?CultureYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 25 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tucker Carlson say "Border" or "Immigration" 5+ times at AmericaFest events on December 18?MentionsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Meta (META) close above $860 end of February?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 23?FinanceUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 5?FinanceDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $110?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $305,000 and $310,000 by March 1?EconomyYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Premier LeagueYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on December 18?WeatherYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 22?WeatherYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Alexander Crum / Christopher Haworth win the 2026 PPA: Newport Beach Open (Men's Doubles) tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 19?WeatherNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 70°F or higher on January 27?WeatherYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 19?FinanceUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hanne Desmet (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Naomi Urness (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down on February 5?CryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?CryptoNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ryanair say "JetBlue" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 12?CryptoYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs Scotland (Game 1) - Toss Match Double Scotland WinnerCricketYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $285?FinanceNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $100?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Young TigeRES to win 0 maps?eSportsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $700M and $750M at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 53°F or below on December 20?WeatherYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Angola win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Soccer (other)YesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mamdani say "Brothers and sisters" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?MentionsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chrissy Hofbeck be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?CultureYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$6.5K
Finance+$1.4K
Weather+$794
Mentions+$319
eSports+$88
Politics+$46
Cricket+$43
UFC / MMA+$22
NFL+$19
Culture-$18
Olympics-$16
Other sports-$12
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Toughest beat
-$54
Solana Up or Down on November 3?

Recent moves

  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$29h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$19h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$19h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$22d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$22d ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$103d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$43d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$23d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$23d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$53d ago