← Whale Watch

Alyosm

Predicting since Apr 20261,027 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.0K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$500.3¢0.3¢-$8
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?PoliticsYes$2015¢7.5¢-$10
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$100.4¢0.4¢-$1
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$100.3¢0.3¢-$2
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$105.1¢4.2¢-$2
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$100.2¢0.1¢-$3
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$101.8¢1.4¢-$2
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$160.8¢0.4¢-$9
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$108.0¢5.5¢-$3
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60.7¢0.7¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1018¢8.5¢-$5
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$109.0¢4.3¢-$5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$51.0¢0.8¢-$1
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$50.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$50.8¢0.5¢-$2
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$523¢13¢-$2
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$30.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$205.3¢0.4¢-$18
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.1¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$206.6¢0.4¢-$19
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$20050¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10073¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5686¢0.0¢-$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15055¢0.0¢-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3049¢0.0¢-$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10062¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2538¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2521¢0.0¢-$25
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3027¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$910¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10052¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2164¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3746¢0.0¢-$37
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$603.5¢0.0¢-$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1949¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2032¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12074¢0.0¢-$120
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5257¢0.0¢-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3036¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$442¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5751¢0.0¢-$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3054¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12560¢0.0¢-$125
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5041¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1001.0¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5070¢0.0¢-$50
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5054¢0.0¢-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$807.5¢0.0¢-$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10067¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10088¢0.0¢-$100
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$10021¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7069¢0.0¢-$70
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$102.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11411¢0.0¢-$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?PoliticsYesResolved$121.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1634¢0.0¢-$16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$5027¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2042¢0.0¢-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$701.8¢0.0¢-$70
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2544¢0.0¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$3303.1¢0.0¢-$330
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$14055¢0.0¢-$140
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$7457¢0.0¢-$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$107.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$912¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3017¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5321¢0.0¢-$53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?PoliticsYesResolved$280.9¢0.0¢-$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$456.9¢0.0¢-$45
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$672.8¢0.0¢-$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1137¢0.0¢-$11
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.0K
Crypto-$1.8K
World Cup+$302
Bundesliga-$45
Mentions-$27
NBA-$20
Formula 1-$18
Culture-$10
Soccer (other)-$6
Champions League-$5
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$793d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$423d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$8383d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7953d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$63d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$523d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$443d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1043d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$4283d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3063d ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$343d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$533d ago