 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?Tech | Yes | $6 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 31¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 39¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $2 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?Tech | No | $1 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| Will anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Mentions | Yes | $0 | 31¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture | Yes | $2 | 51¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 87¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Boxing | YesResolved | $500 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Max HollowayResolved | $50 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |