← Whale Watch

EdgeOfChaos

Predicting since Sep 20251,579 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.4K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K96¢96¢+$4
Human moon landing in 2026?TechNo$48697¢98¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$42584¢83¢-$7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$398100¢99¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$36597¢98¢+$3
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$29398¢99¢+$2
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$27384¢86¢+$5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$26375¢72¢-$11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$22490¢91¢+$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$24564¢57¢-$24
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$19497¢98¢+$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$19095¢97¢+$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$18492¢95¢+$5
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18090¢92¢+$3
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$16582¢91¢+$16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14171¢83¢+$24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$14472¢81¢+$17
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$15574¢68¢-$13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$13685¢86¢+$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$10854¢69¢+$29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$11590¢94¢+$5
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$8368¢87¢+$23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$9898¢100¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9696¢98¢+$2
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$9393¢94¢+$2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$6969¢90¢+$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8686¢89¢+$3
SHEIN IPO before 2027?TechYes$8185¢88¢+$2
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$7575¢81¢+$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$8291¢83¢-$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$7087¢77¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$5594¢97¢+$2
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$6289¢78¢-$8
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$5040¢43¢+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoNo$4997¢99¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?FinanceNo$4793¢99¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$4794¢98¢+$2
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4895¢97¢+$1
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2550¢95¢+$23
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4488¢92¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$4182¢90¢+$4
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$4086¢89¢+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4221¢20¢-$1
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$3998¢99¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$4623¢20¢-$7
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$3588¢93¢+$2
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?TechYes$3355¢56¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$3876¢67¢-$5
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$4040¢33¢-$7
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?TechNo$3469¢66¢-$2
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$3528¢26¢-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$3264¢64¢-$0
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechYes$5733¢18¢-$26
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?TechNo$3099¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2763¢65¢+$1
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?CryptoYes$3749¢35¢-$10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$2549¢47¢-$1
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$3155¢35¢-$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?CryptoNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?TechNo$2099¢99¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$47.5¢24¢+$8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$989¢99¢+$1
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$1099¢99¢+$0
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$1098¢99¢+$0
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$994¢96¢+$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$1738¢20¢-$8
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?TechNo$1096¢91¢-$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢89¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$989¢87¢-$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$838¢43¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?FinanceYes$2454¢15¢-$17
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$528¢32¢+$1
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$42.1¢1.5¢-$1
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2550¢4.6¢-$23
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$850¢13¢-$6
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?FinanceYes$29.0¢5.9¢-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceYes$88.0¢1.1¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?CryptoYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?TechYesResolved$3672¢0.0¢-$36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$8622¢0.0¢-$86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$6369¢0.0¢-$63
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8?CryptoYesResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?TechNoResolved$722¢0.0¢-$7
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$7144¢0.0¢-$71
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026TechNoResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$118.0¢0.0¢-$11
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1325¢0.0¢-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 6 2026?FinanceYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1364¢0.0¢-$13
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$34850¢0.0¢-$348
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?CryptoYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld CupFranceResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$2040¢0.0¢-$20
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$947¢0.0¢-$9
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$883¢0.0¢-$8
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesMLBAtlanta BravesResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$115.8¢0.0¢-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NHL-$996
Other sports-$654
World Cup-$522
Economy-$385
Crypto-$250
Tech-$191
eSports+$85
NBA-$75
Basketball (other)-$52
Tennis+$43
Finance-$41
Soccer (other)+$34
Biggest hit
+$272
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
Toughest beat
-$736
Sabres vs. Bruins

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$65h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$65h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$289h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$29h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1510h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$019h ago
  • Bought No · Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$819h ago
  • Bought No · Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$719h ago
  • Bought No · Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$81d ago