← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Mar 20263,005 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$1890¢93¢+$1
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$1994¢92¢-$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$993¢93¢-$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$987¢89¢+$0
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$774¢74¢+$0
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$196¢100¢+$0
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$196¢100¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Will 175 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$197¢100¢+$0
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$197¢100¢+$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$196¢99¢+$0
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$197¢100¢+$0
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?PoliticsNo$196¢98¢+$0
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$197¢99¢+$0
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$197¢99¢+$0
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$196¢98¢+$0
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$198¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$198¢100¢+$0
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$196¢97¢+$0
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$198¢100¢+$0
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$196¢97¢+$0
Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by July 31?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by July 31?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Décio Lima win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$196¢96¢+$0
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?PoliticsNo$197¢97¢+$0
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will Adriano Silva win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will Afrânio Boppré win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1100¢100¢+$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?PoliticsNo$199¢99¢+$0
Will Marcos Vieira win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?PoliticsNo$1100¢100¢+$0
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$196¢96¢+$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢0.0¢-$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1087¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$73
Politics-$18
Economy-$0
Biggest hit
+$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Toughest beat
-$6
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?$17h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?$19h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$110h ago
  • Bought No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$112h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?$114h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$11d ago