← Whale Watch

Hugin-og-Munin

Predicting since Apr 202620,133 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$48893¢100¢+$38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$22972¢97¢+$79
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$14067¢100¢+$68
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$9223¢41¢+$76
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$9824¢36¢+$48
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)MLBChicago White Sox$7639¢71¢+$63
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureYes$2813¢63¢+$108
Spread: FC Cajamarca (-1.5)Soccer (other)CD Garcilaso$11079¢95¢+$22
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)Yes$4336¢100¢+$77
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLBAtlanta Braves$11151¢53¢+$3
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$10.9¢100¢+$99
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$8631¢30¢-$4
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2829¢81¢+$51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$6736¢43¢+$12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$6428¢34¢+$13
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?CultureYes$1721¢90¢+$54
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)CR Flamengo$5783¢97¢+$9
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?Soccer (other)Yes$3638¢68¢+$28
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$4946¢61¢+$15
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?PoliticsYes$6137¢35¢-$3
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsYes$4630¢37¢+$12
Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$4786¢100¢+$8
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$2952¢100¢+$26
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?EconomyYes$2730¢55¢+$23
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?EconomyYes$2219¢39¢+$25
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5MLBUnder$3647¢61¢+$11
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$3216¢23¢+$14
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$4912¢11¢-$4
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Soccer (other)Under$3578¢100¢+$10
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$2020¢44¢+$24
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$12.0¢99¢+$43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5MLBOver$1114¢54¢+$32
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$4726¢23¢-$6
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$3824¢26¢+$3
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$5249¢39¢-$11
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$3020¢27¢+$11
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$4080¢79¢-$1
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$2720¢27¢+$10
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$5490¢62¢-$17
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5MLBOver$3849¢47¢-$2
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$4515¢12¢-$9
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$3317¢18¢+$2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5MLBUnder$4575¢59¢-$9
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?TechYes$3831¢28¢-$3
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?EconomyNo$3185¢97¢+$4
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$1628¢63¢+$19
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth <3.5%?FinanceNo$2969¢83¢+$6
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$3030¢33¢+$3
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?CultureYes$3818¢16¢-$5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27?WeatherYes$69.1¢47¢+$26
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$22.0¢35¢+$30
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$614¢75¢+$26
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$3699¢89¢-$4
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?EconomyYes$2958¢64¢+$3
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$1325¢59¢+$18
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?TechYes$158.0¢16¢+$15
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$2734¢39¢+$4
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$2937¢36¢-$0
Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$2617¢19¢+$2
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$2673¢80¢+$3
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)MLBChicago White Sox$1327¢59¢+$15
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$717¢66¢+$20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?CultureYes$3818¢13¢-$12
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June?EconomyNo$1753¢85¢+$10
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$338.0¢6.3¢-$7
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$4325¢14¢-$18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?PoliticsYes$186.7¢9.0¢+$6
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 13%-16%?FinanceYes$918¢49¢+$16
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$1861¢81¢+$6
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?CultureYes$613¢55¢+$19
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?EconomyYes$1734¢49¢+$7
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?EconomyYes$2958¢48¢-$5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$2289¢93¢+$1
Will Team Vitality Win the EWC Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Mid Season Cup?eSportsYes$25.0¢57¢+$21
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?FinanceNo$2464¢62¢-$1
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$6069¢27¢-$37
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?PoliticsNo$1657¢79¢+$6
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$2116¢17¢+$2
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 16%-19%?FinanceYes$1121¢45¢+$12
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$2115¢16¢+$1
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$714¢43¢+$15
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$2021¢22¢+$1
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?TechYes$2013¢14¢+$2
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?CultureYes$720¢61¢+$14
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$1458¢84¢+$7
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?EconomyNo$2495¢83¢-$3
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsYes$32.6¢21¢+$18
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$614¢50¢+$15
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$1050¢100¢+$10
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)No$1050¢100¢+$10
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$1050¢100¢+$10
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$1050¢100¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1050¢100¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on July 27?WeatherNo$1050¢100¢+$10
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$1428¢38¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on July 27?WeatherNo$1050¢100¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1050¢100¢+$10
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsNo$1775¢87¢+$3
Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?PoliticsNo$1157¢100¢+$9
Will Dan J. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?PoliticsNo$1367¢100¢+$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Soccer (other)+$670
eSports+$412
Weather+$239
Politics+$220
MLB+$164
Other sports+$163
Tech+$121
MLS+$104
Culture+$85
Economy-$60
Premier League+$50
NBA+$43
Biggest hit
+$66
Will Waratahs win?
Toughest beat
-$36
Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)

Recent moves

  • MERGE Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Wisla Plock end in a draw?$51m ago
  • MERGE Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-07-26?$51m ago
  • CONVERSION RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Wisla Plock$01m ago
  • Cashed out GAM Esports · Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)$03m ago
  • Cashed out GAM Esports · Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)$03m ago
  • Cashed out Under · Games Total: O/U 2.5$03m ago
  • Cashed out Under · Games Total: O/U 2.5$03m ago
  • CONVERSION Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC$05m ago
  • CONVERSION Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC$06m ago
  • Bought No · Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?$206m ago
  • CONVERSION Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC$010m ago
  • Bought No · Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?$2010m ago