← Whale Watch

failstober

Predicting since Nov 2025927 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $301K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $135K across 51 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$120K on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$95K23¢14¢-$35K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$15K50¢80¢+$9.1K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$18K39¢43¢+$1.6K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$23K40¢20¢-$11K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4.2K1.8¢2.4¢+$1.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.0K61¢92¢+$1.5K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.6K81¢95¢+$633
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.4K83¢96¢+$515
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$50015¢91¢+$2.5K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.5K3.3¢5.1¢+$812
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$100045¢95¢+$1.1K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.2K67¢56¢-$361
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1.9K51¢50¢-$55
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.6K53¢57¢+$137
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.4K45¢27¢-$545
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3313.7¢8.6¢+$441
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$7712¢86¢+$474
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$160.8¢20¢+$398
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$31953¢60¢+$41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢8.5¢+$286
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120.8¢12¢+$186
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$45417¢7.0¢-$268
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1029.4¢17¢+$82
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢4.9¢+$151
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$90.8¢16¢+$164
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢5.1¢+$152
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$14413¢14¢+$17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120.8¢8.8¢+$129
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$40012¢3.6¢-$278
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢2.6¢+$67
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢2.4¢+$58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$16517¢8.5¢-$85
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢2.4¢+$61
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢2.4¢+$61
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢2.3¢+$58
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢2.1¢+$54
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.6¢+$29
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.6¢+$29
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.5¢+$25
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢1.6¢+$34
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.1¢+$14
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.1¢+$14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3881¢87¢+$3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.1¢+$10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢1.1¢+$10
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢1.1¢+$21
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢1.1¢+$21
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.9¢+$15
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.9¢+$3
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.9¢+$3
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.9¢+$11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120.8¢1.8¢+$16
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.8¢-$1
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.7¢-$5
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.7¢-$5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.7¢-$5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.7¢-$5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.7¢-$5
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$90.8¢2.1¢+$15
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.7¢+$5
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.7¢+$5
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.7¢+$5
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.5¢-$9
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.5¢-$9
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$200.8¢0.7¢-$3
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.4¢-$12
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.4¢-$12
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$2
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$2
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$2
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.4¢-$16
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.4¢-$16
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.4¢-$16
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$90.8¢1.1¢+$3
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1918¢11¢-$8
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$90.8¢0.9¢+$2
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.3¢-$20
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.3¢-$20
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.3¢-$20
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$290.8¢0.3¢-$20
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$170.5¢0.3¢-$9
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$130.8¢0.4¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$301K
World Cup-$35K
NBA-$33K
NHL+$31K
Boxing-$29K
Crypto+$18K
Tech-$16K
College Hoops-$13K
Champions League-$13K
Olympics-$11K
NFL-$9.6K
Culture-$5.2K
Biggest hit
+$120K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$20K
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Recent moves

  • SPLIT Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$30K4d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23K6d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2159d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$629d ago