PConsensus

Predicting since Apr 2026275 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$300	93¢	98¢	+$15
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	No	$250	85¢	89¢	+$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$106	53¢	100¢	+$94
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics	No	$106	59¢	62¢	+$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	83¢	87¢	+$6
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$100	89¢	92¢	+$3
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$100	96¢	98¢	+$2
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$100	95¢	96¢	+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics	No	$100	94¢	95¢	+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$100	94¢	94¢	-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$70	96¢	97¢	+$1
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Politics	No	$50	82¢	89¢	+$4
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$50	88¢	93¢	+$3
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics	No	$50	95¢	98¢	+$2
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?Politics	No	$50	97¢	100¢	+$1
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics	No	$50	92¢	95¢	+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$50	83¢	85¢	+$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics	No	$50	97¢	97¢	+$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$50	79¢	79¢	+$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics	No	$40	83¢	85¢	+$1
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$30	75¢	78¢	+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$25	90¢	96¢	+$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics	No	$25	94¢	96¢	+$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics	No	$20	63¢	67¢	+$1
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$19	94¢	97¢	+$1
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Politics	No	$15	75¢	81¢	+$1
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics	No	$15	81¢	86¢	+$1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics	No	$15	84¢	86¢	+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics	No	$10	58¢	67¢	+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics	No	$10	87¢	93¢	+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	72¢	77¢	+$1
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	94¢	97¢	+$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	61¢	63¢	+$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics	No	$7	89¢	89¢	-$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto	Yes	$4	77¢	84¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$204

Tennis+$95

Crypto+$43

NBA-$25

Other sports+$25

Premier League+$9

Mentions-$8

UFC / MMA+$5

World Cup+$4

Tech-$3

MLB+$3

Culture+$2

Biggest hit

+$110

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$85

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?$519h ago
Sold Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$519h ago
Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?$202d ago
Cashed out No · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?$202d ago
Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?$103d ago
Cashed out No · Will Drake release a new album by September 30?$103d ago
Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?$203d ago
Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?$103d ago
Cashed out No · Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$103d ago
Bought No · Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?$73d ago
Bought No · US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?$403d ago
Bought No · Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?$503d ago