Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $67 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 31¢ | 54¢ | +$26 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $32 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $24 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $26 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $17 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 86¢ | +$13 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $13 | 64¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 41¢ | 16¢ | -$23 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $11 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $11 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 59¢ | 37¢ | -$7 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $10 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $9 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $8 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $8 | 43¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Finance | Yes | $6 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $7 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $5 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Finance | No | $6 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $6 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 58¢ | 14¢ | -$16 |
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $5 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Finance | No | $5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $5 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 62¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 66¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 69¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?Politics | Under | $5 | 48¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $1 | 59¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 72¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |