← Whale Watch

0x987ea140C1FEc8f616a52318840ff1482360c3bd-1776356291225

Predicting since Apr 20261,437 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$4382¢98¢+$9
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$3841¢56¢+$14
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$5056¢56¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$3770¢94¢+$12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4679¢83¢+$2
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$4790¢90¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$4184¢93¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$2881¢94¢+$5
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$3293¢93¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2678¢92¢+$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$3082¢79¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$1966¢93¢+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$2066¢74¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2194¢96¢+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2123¢24¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2196¢96¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$2093¢96¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1994¢95¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2723¢16¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$1693¢99¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1523¢25¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2124¢18¢-$5
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1465¢73¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$1785¢78¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$1465¢72¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1585¢85¢-$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1579¢73¢-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$1054¢66¢+$2
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$1162¢61¢-$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$826¢34¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$1096¢98¢+$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1092¢93¢+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$1168¢65¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$757¢88¢+$3
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$984¢91¢+$1
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?FinanceNo$876¢95¢+$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$529¢54¢+$4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1067¢62¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1261¢42¢-$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1158¢46¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$665¢69¢+$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?FinanceNo$571¢91¢+$1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$572¢90¢+$1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$575¢82¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$543¢49¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$556¢64¢+$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$569¢80¢+$1
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$683¢83¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$586¢97¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$575¢83¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$554¢57¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢98¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$587¢92¢+$0
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$589¢93¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$578¢87¢+$1
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$588¢92¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$588¢94¢+$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$589¢91¢+$0
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$593¢94¢+$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$586¢87¢+$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$585¢83¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$550¢50¢+$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$588¢88¢-$0
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$584¢84¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$357¢99¢+$2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$553¢52¢-$0
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$124¢95¢+$4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1746¢13¢-$12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢94¢+$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?FinanceNo$592¢86¢-$0
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$488¢92¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$355¢92¢+$2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?CryptoYes$533¢30¢-$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$496¢99¢+$0
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoNo$362¢88¢+$1
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceNo$368¢84¢+$1
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$529¢24¢-$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$487¢78¢-$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$469¢60¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?CryptoYes$554¢38¢-$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$382¢84¢+$0
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?PoliticsYes$237¢60¢+$1
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$486¢63¢-$1
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$470¢59¢-$1
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$362¢59¢-$0
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$344¢42¢-$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$530¢14¢-$3
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingPacquiao$246¢47¢+$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$128¢52¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$295¢99¢+$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$240¢36¢-$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$293¢98¢+$0
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$236¢35¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$267¢69¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$120¢31¢+$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$195¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$422¢8.5¢-$2
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$122¢22¢+$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$196¢97¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Basketball (other)-$55
eSports-$42
Crypto+$40
MLB-$30
La Liga-$27
Golf-$24
Politics-$23
World Cup-$23
Culture-$21
Olympics-$20
Tech-$17
Finance+$14
Biggest hit
+$62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
Toughest beat
-$45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$14m ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$54m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$524m ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$528m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$53h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$53h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$53h ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$53h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$53h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$53h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$53h ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$63h ago