Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $43 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $38 | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$14 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $37 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $46 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $47 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $41 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $28 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $32 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $30 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $19 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $20 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$8 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | No | $16 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $21 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $14 | 65¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $14 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $11 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $8 | 26¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $10 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $11 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Finance | No | $8 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 54¢ | +$4 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 61¢ | 42¢ | -$4 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 58¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $6 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 71¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 43¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $6 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 54¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $5 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $5 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $5 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | No | $3 | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 46¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 55¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 33¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $3 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Finance | No | $3 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $4 | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 69¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 86¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $3 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $3 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Boxing | Pacquiao | $2 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $1 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $1 | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $1 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |