 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $390 | 32¢ | 42¢ | +$124 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $186 | 59¢ | 99¢ | +$129 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $288 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$9 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $122 | 27¢ | 58¢ | +$142 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $130 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $85 | 51¢ | 61¢ | +$16 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$5 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$13 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $72 | 7.9¢ | 7.3¢ | -$5 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | Yes | $229 | 48¢ | 12¢ | -$174 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 43¢ | 72¢ | +$19 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 19¢ | 34¢ | +$21 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $39 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$6 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $38 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $36 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 26¢ | 42¢ | +$14 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 22¢ | 95¢ | +$26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $18 | 36¢ | 67¢ | +$15 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $34 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$4 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $75 | 37¢ | 13¢ | -$50 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 54¢ | 35¢ | -$13 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $23 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $13 | 56¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 92¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 15¢ | 27¢ | +$6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 17¢ | 7.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 5.6¢ | 4.3¢ | -$2 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 55¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 80¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 70¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$05h ago
Cashed out No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?$05h ago