 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $914 | 47¢ | 76¢ | +$568 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $288 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $149 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$43 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 77¢ | 68¢ | -$24 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $155 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $101 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $96 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $79 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 37¢ | 54¢ | +$25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 41¢ | 82¢ | +$40 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $28 | 43¢ | 99¢ | +$37 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $62 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $37 | 54¢ | 83¢ | +$20 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $53 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $75 | 37¢ | 26¢ | -$22 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $39 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | Yes | $229 | 48¢ | 9.5¢ | -$183 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $40 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $36 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 91¢ | 79¢ | -$6 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 67¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$11 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $30 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $23 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | Yes | $25 | 43¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $34 | 67¢ | 43¢ | -$12 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $23 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$8 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $10 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 27¢ | 9.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 19¢ | 5.3¢ | -$18 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 41¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 39¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $4 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 46¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 55¢ | 7.0¢ | -$11 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 2.7¢ | -$6 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Cashed out Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$31d ago