← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Mar 20261,307 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2568¢92¢+$8
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2588¢92¢+$1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1384¢96¢+$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$1370¢80¢+$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1393¢98¢+$1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$1287¢88¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1082¢90¢+$1
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$937¢42¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$981¢82¢+$0
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$994¢97¢+$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$883¢93¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$676¢100¢+$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$776¢88¢+$1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?WeatherYes$667¢85¢+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$676¢79¢+$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$684¢88¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$564¢75¢+$1
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$589¢95¢+$0
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$595¢99¢+$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$476¢95¢+$1
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?WeatherYes$764¢45¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$474¢81¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$470¢68¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$355¢65¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$374¢89¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$352¢63¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$452¢55¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$272¢94¢+$1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$266¢86¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$237¢56¢+$1
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$391¢83¢-$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$280¢82¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$271¢99¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$272¢92¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$280¢95¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$274¢94¢+$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$280¢99¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$214¢17¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$272¢52¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$60
NHL-$40
Mentions+$14
Champions League+$12
NBA+$11
Finance+$8
Culture-$7
Soccer (other)+$5
Tech+$4
eSports-$1
Weather-$1
Economy+$0
Biggest hit
+$21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
Toughest beat
-$21
US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$06h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$08h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$18h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$09h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$09h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$010h ago
  • Sold No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$012h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?$014h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$115h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$119h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$421h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$221h ago