← Whale Watch

kirby26

Predicting since Oct 20251,084 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Economy markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $19K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$11K72¢85¢+$2.0K
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.1K52¢76¢+$3.6K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1.5K55¢69¢+$359
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$19712¢18¢+$105
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$26482¢81¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$14893¢94¢+$1
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?EconomyYes$17029¢25¢-$24
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$15060¢56¢-$9
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$757.5¢13¢+$60
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceNo$10971¢84¢+$18
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$10843¢49¢+$15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$11586¢81¢-$7
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$9393¢93¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$6124¢28¢+$11
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?EconomyNo$6432¢34¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$6491¢97¢+$4
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$7930¢26¢-$13
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6490¢89¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$4980¢100¢+$12
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6262¢60¢-$2
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5991¢90¢-$1
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?FinanceNo$3230¢54¢+$25
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$5994¢86¢-$5
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$4680¢84¢+$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$17759¢15¢-$131
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4669¢69¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$4271¢76¢+$3
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?TechNo$3467¢87¢+$10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?FinanceNo$3071¢99¢+$12
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$4577¢66¢-$7
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?EconomyYes$4946¢37¢-$10
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?WeatherYes$2973¢96¢+$9
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?EconomyNo$2651¢66¢+$7
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$2021¢34¢+$13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$4035¢28¢-$8
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$3093¢100¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$3060¢63¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$2994¢99¢+$2
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$2460¢77¢+$7
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3076¢76¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3061¢59¢-$1
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?PoliticsYes$3046¢42¢-$2
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$3087¢80¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?WeatherNo$2592¢100¢+$2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifiereSportsFUT Esports$2874¢68¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2082¢100¢+$4
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2624¢22¢-$3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$2392¢93¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1776¢100¢+$6
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2082¢94¢+$3
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1965¢77¢+$3
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)Yes$2139¢41¢+$1
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$108.2¢18¢+$12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$2085¢86¢+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$2124¢23¢-$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$3020¢14¢-$10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$1884¢91¢+$1
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?MLSNo$1975¢80¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1964¢67¢+$1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1510¢13¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$1748¢52¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$1473¢89¢+$3
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?FinanceYes$3010¢5.5¢-$14
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsYes$1737¢35¢-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$1490¢97¢+$1
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?PoliticsNo$2085¢63¢-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$3015¢7.2¢-$16
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1530¢27¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$973¢100¢+$3
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1186¢99¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$1477¢70¢-$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1262¢63¢+$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in July?FinanceNo$2086¢55¢-$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$1528¢24¢-$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1479¢69¢-$2
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?FinanceYes$1423¢20¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2738¢17¢-$15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?FinanceYes$937¢47¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 26?WeatherNo$991¢100¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?CultureNo$994¢100¢+$1
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?EconomyYes$1022¢20¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$991¢93¢+$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$1616¢9.4¢-$6
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsYes$1458¢37¢-$5
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$62.3¢3.4¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?WeatherNo$889¢100¢+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$711¢14¢+$2
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsNo$752¢58¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 26?WeatherNo$675¢100¢+$2
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$666¢85¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?WeatherNo$768¢77¢+$1
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$790¢90¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?WeatherNo$795¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 26?WeatherNo$680¢100¢+$1
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$691¢96¢+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$618¢22¢+$1
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$642¢47¢+$1
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?GolfNo$1286¢46¢-$5
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$106.1¢3.9¢-$4
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$672¢67¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy-$1.2K
Politics+$903
Crypto+$675
World Cup-$492
Tennis-$176
UFC / MMA-$144
Weather-$140
MLB-$138
NBA-$138
eSports+$119
Soccer (other)+$89
Other sports+$39
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.2K
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1611m ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?$521m ago
  • Bought No · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$461h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$61h ago
  • Cashed out Diego Dedura-Palomero · Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanen$131h ago
  • Bought No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$52h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$62h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in July?$62h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?$42h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 28?$43h ago
  • Bought Over · AFC Ajax vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 0.5$63h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 27?$44h ago