 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $10 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will Germany join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Mexico before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$63d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
Sold Yes · Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32mo ago
Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$52mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$62mo ago