 Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $2 | 26¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $1 | 16¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $4 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Weather | No | $0 | 2.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $5 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?Culture | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.2¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Culture | No | $1 | 26¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 8.0¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 42¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 2.4¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 19¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 41¢ | +$4 |
 Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 11¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 41¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 30¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $3 | 61¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $0 | 8.0¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 18¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 41¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $0 | 6.0¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 26¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $3 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?Politics | No | $1 | 15¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1 | 18¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 61¢ | +$3 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?Tech | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 58¢ | +$3 |
 Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Politics | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 29¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $1 | 18¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $1 | 13¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 14¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 54¢ | +$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 23¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Politics | No | $1 | 25¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | No | $1 | 22¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 22¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Politics | No | $2 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 18¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 23¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $2 | 64¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 15¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 11¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 21¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $1 | 14¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $1 | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $2 | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 19¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?Tech | No | $0 | 18¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 6.1¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | No | $1 | 12¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 3.6¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
| Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 2.1¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $1 | 22¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
 Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 17¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
| Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $1 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?Finance | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | Yes | $2 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 58¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?Politics | Yes | $0 | 9.0¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 1.3¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.9¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Economy | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $1 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Politics | Yes | $0 | 8.0¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Politics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$013h ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$013h ago