 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 16¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 17¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $1 | 19¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Culture | No | $1 | 26¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will StripChain launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 17¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 22¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 26¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?Tech | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 8.0¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 42¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 16¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 18¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1 | 18¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 11¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 30¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 23¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 13¢ | 71¢ | +$3 |
 Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $0 | 8.0¢ | 71¢ | +$3 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $0 | 6.0¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 15¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.8¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 18¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | No | $0 | 3.6¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Politics | No | $2 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $2 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 17¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Politics | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 19¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $1 | 16¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 14¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 29¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
 Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 11¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $1 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 9.0¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
 Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 15¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?Finance | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
 Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $2 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics | No | $1 | 18¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 13¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 15¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 19¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $1 | 35¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | No | $1 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 23¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 47¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 9.0¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | No | $1 | 19¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 3.6¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $1 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $0 | 13¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $0 | 13¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 7.0¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $0 | 10¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $0 | 7.0¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 12¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 5.9¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.2¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?Tech | No | $0 | 18¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 13?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bought No · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?$117m ago
Bought No · Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?$01h ago
Bought Yes · Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?$04h ago
Cashed out No · Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026?$09h ago