← Whale Watch

Relaccsed

Predicting since Jun 20252,283 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.8K riding on NATO x Russia military clash by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K20¢30¢+$827
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K25¢43¢+$797
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$76446¢62¢+$266
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K72¢73¢+$8
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$1.3K22¢16¢-$340
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K42¢33¢-$262
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$92497¢96¢-$11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$54224¢23¢-$24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$49699¢100¢+$4
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$24549¢100¢+$254
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$23850¢66¢+$72
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$29899¢100¢+$1
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsYes$31214¢13¢-$19
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$22274¢94¢+$59
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$24196¢99¢+$7
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsYes$21769¢71¢+$5
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22142¢41¢-$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$19095¢99¢+$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$17799¢99¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$13384¢98¢+$23
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?PoliticsYes$13241¢43¢+$4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$8959¢89¢+$45
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$11256¢66¢+$19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$34635¢12¢-$233
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10076¢76¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$8484¢98¢+$14
Will Trump hug someone on July 4?PoliticsNo$6352¢75¢+$28
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$88.5¢100¢+$83
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$39341¢9.3¢-$303
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$30144¢13¢-$212
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$11830¢20¢-$40
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$6055¢60¢+$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$42055¢8.5¢-$355
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$8828¢18¢-$32
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$5120¢21¢+$3
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$7776¢49¢-$27
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsYes$6537¢26¢-$20
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?CryptoYes$5311¢8.6¢-$10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$7826¢13¢-$41
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$3774¢63¢-$6
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1961¢96¢+$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2539¢46¢+$4
Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?CultureNo$3178¢73¢-$2
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$6231¢14¢-$35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2416¢14¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18847¢4.2¢-$171
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$1867¢56¢-$3
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$2424¢14¢-$11
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$1769¢52¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2035¢18¢-$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$251.9¢0.5¢-$18
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1170¢36¢-$6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$218.4¢1.7¢-$17
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11.7¢3.8¢+$2
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$36.0¢5.5¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$1566¢11¢-$13
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1916¢2.1¢-$16
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 25, 2026?PoliticsYes$1212¢2.3¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$2237¢3.1¢-$20
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$1413¢1.0¢-$13
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?PoliticsYes$1684¢5.5¢-$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$1565¢4.5¢-$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$20130¢0.1¢-$200
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.3K
Culture-$368
NFL-$301
Mentions+$241
NBA+$201
Crypto+$199
Tech-$165
UFC / MMA-$104
MLB-$85
Boxing-$84
NHL-$66
eSports+$50
Biggest hit
+$683
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$535
Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$10022m ago
  • Bought Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?$13238m ago
  • Bought Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$31238m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$41639m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$7855m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$461h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$991h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$261h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2461h ago
  • Bought Yes · Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$1675h ago
  • Bought Yes · Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$4011h ago