← Whale Watch

1a1

Predicting since Mar 20251,211 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.6K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$10076¢94¢+$23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$10085¢99¢+$17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10030¢20¢-$32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$6090¢97¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$10059¢21¢-$65
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2055¢43¢-$4
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1353¢63¢+$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1017¢24¢+$4
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$1087¢100¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1096¢100¢+$0
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1097¢100¢+$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$1052¢50¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1055¢34¢-$4
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1013¢6.5¢-$5
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsYes$1010.0¢4.3¢-$6
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$57.0¢3.7¢-$2
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$840¢6.5¢-$7
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?PoliticsNoResolved$4085¢0.0¢-$40
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2024¢0.0¢-$20
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?PoliticsYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5034¢0.0¢-$50
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?CultureYesResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureYesResolved$167¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 50 and 60 million views the first week?CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2150¢0.0¢-$21
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$160¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2042¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?PoliticsNoResolved$194¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2025¢0.0¢-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?TechNoResolved$1065¢0.0¢-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?WeatherYesResolved$4454¢0.0¢-$44
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?PoliticsYesResolved$338¢0.0¢-$3
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?PoliticsNoResolved$5035¢0.0¢-$50
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$2436¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?Other sportsYesResolved$1324¢0.0¢-$13
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
TikTok sale announced by October 31?TechYesResolved$2065¢0.0¢-$20
Will Eric Adams endorse Sliwa?PoliticsYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Yoon in jail before August?PoliticsNoResolved$4043¢0.0¢-$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$6054¢0.0¢-$60
Will Steve Bannon be in the Epstein Files?PoliticsNoResolved$4079¢0.0¢-$40
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?FinanceYesResolved$353.5¢0.0¢-$35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$2073¢0.0¢-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$9029¢0.0¢-$90
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get more than 70 million views the first week?CultureYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2045¢0.0¢-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1516¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5527¢0.0¢-$55
Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? CultureNoResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?PoliticsYesResolved$142.5¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?MentionsYesResolved$2084¢0.0¢-$20
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1046¢0.0¢-$10
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?PoliticsYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?PoliticsLeadership ChangeResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsYesResolved$6534¢0.0¢-$65
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$14018¢0.0¢-$140
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$11041¢0.0¢-$110
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?TechNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$302.8¢0.0¢-$30
TikTok sale announced by September 30?TechYesResolved$6320¢0.0¢-$63
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?MentionsNoResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?Soccer (other)YesResolved$6052¢0.0¢-$60
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?CultureYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?PoliticsNoResolved$9071¢0.0¢-$90
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1115.6¢0.0¢-$111
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$813¢0.0¢-$8
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$4053¢0.0¢-$40
Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFLPatriotsResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down on January 19?CryptoUpResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?EconomyNoResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 60 and 70 million views the first week?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$6.6K
College Hoops-$959
Finance-$353
Mentions-$225
Tech-$154
La Liga-$126
World Cup-$110
Culture-$97
Soccer (other)+$88
Crypto-$53
Other sports+$40
NHL+$30
Biggest hit
+$444
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?
Toughest beat
-$3.3K
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$176d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1006d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1296d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2566d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1006d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1006d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1006d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$106d ago