← Whale Watch

Challenger-

Predicting since Nov 20251,684 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.4K on World Cup markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $2.2K across 2 World Cup markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$65050¢80¢+$387
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$92192¢97¢+$45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$41082¢87¢+$23
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$34486¢93¢+$26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$35394¢99¢+$17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$65050¢20¢-$387
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$17771¢56¢-$37
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8159¢83¢+$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7550¢75¢+$37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9188¢92¢+$4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$545.0¢5.1¢+$2
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$397.9¢9.7¢+$9
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1314¢43¢+$25
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$944¢5.7¢-$8
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$10.6¢0.4¢-$0
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)NFLCowboysResolved$2754¢0.0¢-$27
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$6827¢0.0¢-$68
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAGeoff NealResolved$9265¢0.0¢-$92
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Premier LeagueYesResolved$12479¢0.0¢-$124
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 5?CryptoYesResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?PoliticsNoResolved$1240¢0.0¢-$12
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?Other sportsYesResolved$12541¢0.0¢-$125
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?La LigaYesResolved$1222¢0.0¢-$12
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-02-21?Soccer (other)YesResolved$8357¢0.0¢-$83
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$70524¢0.0¢-$705
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?Soccer (other)YesResolved$5134¢0.0¢-$51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$6030¢0.0¢-$60
Bruins vs. BluesNHLBluesResolved$3154¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$17085¢0.0¢-$170
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15870¢0.0¢-$158
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Cramer say "Money" 20+ times during TBPN on December 4?MentionsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Soccer (other)NoResolved$8241¢0.0¢-$82
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-01?Soccer (other)YesResolved$5411¢0.0¢-$54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?Champions LeagueYesResolved$13545¢0.0¢-$135
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffseSportsFURIAResolved$9971¢0.0¢-$99
Warriors vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5NBAOverResolved$3851¢0.0¢-$38
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?BundesligaYesResolved$12561¢0.0¢-$125
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?Premier LeagueYesResolved$8053¢0.0¢-$80
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4575¢0.0¢-$45
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$730¢0.0¢-$7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1445¢0.0¢-$14
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5757¢0.0¢-$57
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAFinneyResolved$20044¢0.0¢-$200
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2244¢0.0¢-$22
Wild vs. KingsNHLWildResolved$13353¢0.0¢-$133
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueNoResolved$3271¢0.0¢-$32
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?MentionsNoResolved$4354¢0.0¢-$43
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$3735¢0.0¢-$37
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?La LigaNoResolved$14472¢0.0¢-$144
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?La LigaYesResolved$7134¢0.0¢-$71
Heat vs. TimberwolvesNBAHeatResolved$3041¢0.0¢-$30
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 1?CryptoYesResolved$2629¢0.0¢-$26
Canucks vs. Blue JacketsNHLCanucksResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)eSportsWeibo GamingResolved$5656¢0.0¢-$56
Commanders vs. EaglesNFLEaglesResolved$2461¢0.0¢-$24
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?Soccer (other)YesResolved$4361¢0.0¢-$43
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)NHLCanucksResolved$4067¢0.0¢-$40
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5NBAUnderResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173.4¢0.0¢-$17
Nuggets vs. WarriorsNBANuggetsResolved$9068¢0.0¢-$90
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesBasketball (other)Oakland Golden GrizzliesResolved$10473¢0.0¢-$104
Nuggets vs. CelticsNBACelticsResolved$15276¢0.0¢-$152
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$40982¢0.0¢-$409
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?Soccer (other)YesResolved$4371¢0.0¢-$43
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?Premier LeagueYesResolved$7624¢0.0¢-$76
Samford vs. Texas A&MOther sportsSamfordResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$4169¢0.0¢-$41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?Champions LeagueYesResolved$2355¢0.0¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1563¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$3547¢0.0¢-$35
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5NBAOverResolved$9447¢0.0¢-$94
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 153.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$7752¢0.0¢-$77
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?BundesligaNoResolved$13353¢0.0¢-$133
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173.4¢0.0¢-$17
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)NBALakersResolved$4152¢0.0¢-$41
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?BundesligaYesResolved$12755¢0.0¢-$127
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?Other sportsYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1330¢0.0¢-$13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$10145¢0.0¢-$101
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5736¢0.0¢-$57
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?Soccer (other)YesResolved$9265¢0.0¢-$92
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$46484¢0.0¢-$464
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3131¢0.0¢-$31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?BundesligaYesResolved$2629¢0.0¢-$26
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World CupYesResolved$34017¢0.0¢-$340
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?PoliticsYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)NBACavaliersResolved$1256¢0.0¢-$12
Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5NBAUnderResolved$7859¢0.0¢-$78
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1236¢0.0¢-$12
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?PoliticsNoResolved$36752¢0.0¢-$367
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1418¢0.0¢-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?BundesligaYesResolved$23489¢0.0¢-$234
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Loewen FrankfurtHockey (other)Koelner HaieResolved$25284¢0.0¢-$252

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$4.4K
Premier League+$1.3K
Bundesliga+$908
Politics+$821
UFC / MMA-$686
NBA+$443
Basketball (other)-$399
Finance-$339
Champions League-$332
Crypto+$287
Tech+$264
La Liga-$244
Biggest hit
+$795
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Toughest beat
-$337
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-15?$1.1K10d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$93111d ago