Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$178 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $1.1K | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$153 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?Economy | No | $534 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$167 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?Economy | No | $552 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$44 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?Economy | Yes | $479 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$82 |
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $477 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$6 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Economy | No | $228 | 49¢ | 93¢ | +$203 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $219 | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$134 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $312 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$21 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Economy | Yes | $184 | 54¢ | 75¢ | +$73 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?Finance | Yes | $211 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$9 |
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $140 | 29¢ | 39¢ | +$48 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Finance | Yes | $155 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$13 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $131 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$22 |
| Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8B?Finance | Yes | $112 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $60 | 40¢ | 59¢ | +$28 |
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$6 |
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.6B?Finance | Yes | $66 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $51 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Politics | Yes | $139 | 55¢ | 20¢ | -$88 |
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $55 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$4 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?Finance | Yes | $36 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?Finance | No | $30 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?Economy | Yes | $20 | 4.8¢ | 8.3¢ | +$15 |
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $23 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 235?Finance | Yes | $16 | 79¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 47¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 88¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 88¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Boxing | Mayweather | $3 | 64¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
| Will CXMT IPO by July 31, 2026?Finance | No | $99 | 47¢ | 0.8¢ | -$97 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 58¢ | 0.8¢ | -$74 |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnereSports | AuroraResolved | $50 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 2?Finance | YesResolved | $325 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Culture | YesResolved | $202 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $200 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $25 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Team Liquid to win 2-0?eSports | YesResolved | $147 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $110 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSports | Natus VincereResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $340 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$340 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $226 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $200 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $300 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $141 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on July 24?Finance | YesResolved | $75 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $80 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnereSports | AuroraResolved | $24 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $200 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $91 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Xtreme GamingResolved | $100 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $115 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | NoResolved | $680 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$680 |
Will CME (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $147 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $200 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $198 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $30 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team SpiritResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $100 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 24?Finance | YesResolved | $161 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$161 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $125 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $69 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $200 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $400 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.3K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $222 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $100 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29?Finance | DownResolved | $186 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $125 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $313 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnereSports | BetBoom TeamResolved | $100 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $600 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnereSports | Natus VincereResolved | $37 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $150 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $125 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |