← Whale Watch

.brain.

Predicting since Feb 20252,427 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.5K on Crypto markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $2.8K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.8K77¢82¢+$178
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$1.1K72¢82¢+$153
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?EconomyNo$53473¢95¢+$167
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?EconomyNo$55291¢98¢+$44
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?EconomyYes$47961¢72¢+$82
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$47783¢81¢-$6
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?EconomyNo$22849¢93¢+$203
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$21950¢81¢+$134
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$31270¢75¢+$21
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?EconomyYes$18454¢75¢+$73
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?FinanceYes$21145¢43¢-$9
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$14029¢39¢+$48
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?FinanceYes$15573¢79¢+$13
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$13166¢77¢+$22
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8B?FinanceYes$11280¢92¢+$16
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$6040¢59¢+$28
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$8181¢76¢-$6
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.6B?FinanceYes$6681¢92¢+$9
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$5184¢88¢+$2
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsYes$13955¢20¢-$88
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$5580¢74¢-$4
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$4485¢98¢+$7
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q4 total revenues be above $3.6B?FinanceYes$3665¢76¢+$6
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?FinanceNo$3074¢90¢+$6
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?EconomyYes$204.8¢8.3¢+$15
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$2384¢95¢+$3
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 235?FinanceYes$1679¢62¢-$3
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsYes$1347¢31¢-$4
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$770¢67¢-$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$772¢66¢-$1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?TechYes$788¢74¢-$1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$788¢32¢-$5
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingMayweather$364¢53¢-$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$245¢36¢-$0
Will CXMT IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$9947¢0.8¢-$97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$7558¢0.8¢-$74
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnereSportsAuroraResolved$5044¢0.0¢-$50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 2?FinanceYesResolved$32554¢0.0¢-$325
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?CultureYesResolved$20264¢0.0¢-$202
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$20053¢0.0¢-$200
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10030¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2551¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10027¢0.0¢-$100
Team Liquid to win 2-0?eSportsYesResolved$14759¢0.0¢-$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11050¢0.0¢-$110
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?TechYesResolved$1.0K76¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSportsNatus VincereResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$34071¢0.0¢-$340
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22688¢0.0¢-$226
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$20052¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$30057¢0.0¢-$300
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2537¢0.0¢-$25
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$14144¢0.0¢-$141
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on July 24?FinanceYesResolved$7530¢0.0¢-$75
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$8080¢0.0¢-$80
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?TechNoResolved$2613¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7777¢0.0¢-$77
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnereSportsAuroraResolved$2440¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$20032¢0.0¢-$200
Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$9175¢0.0¢-$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5045¢0.0¢-$50
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsXtreme GamingResolved$10040¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11538¢0.0¢-$115
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$68068¢0.0¢-$680
Will CME (CME) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$14722¢0.0¢-$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$20060¢0.0¢-$200
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?EconomyYesResolved$19823¢0.0¢-$198
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3010¢0.0¢-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam SpiritResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10046¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10023¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2024¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10051¢0.0¢-$100
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 24?FinanceYesResolved$16145¢0.0¢-$161
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12533¢0.0¢-$125
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?EconomyYesResolved$6968¢0.0¢-$69
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$20046¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12550¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10046¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5070¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$40040¢0.0¢-$400
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$1.3K42¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$22263¢0.0¢-$222
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10044¢0.0¢-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$10034¢0.0¢-$100
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29?FinanceDownResolved$18650¢0.0¢-$186
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12557¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$31332¢0.0¢-$313
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnereSportsBetBoom TeamResolved$10040¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$60057¢0.0¢-$600
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnereSportsNatus VincereResolved$3761¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15066¢0.0¢-$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2528¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12527¢0.0¢-$125

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$5.5K
World Cup-$2.2K
Finance+$2.0K
Economy+$1.6K
Tech-$1.1K
eSports-$761
Soccer (other)+$241
Mentions-$214
Politics-$187
Culture+$167
Weather-$73
Other+$45
Biggest hit
+$472
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?
Toughest beat
-$790
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$58h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$4641d ago
  • Cashed out No · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on July 24?$201d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$131d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$131d ago
  • Cashed out Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$521d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$2251d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$1561d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5231d ago
  • Sold Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$4461d ago
  • Sold Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$501d ago
  • Sold Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$501d ago