← Whale Watch

TwoEyes

Predicting since Jun 2024617 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $395K on Politics markets since Jun 2024.

Right now: $347K riding on MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?.

Biggest hit: +$161K on Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$38K74¢81¢+$3.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$22K23¢20¢-$3.8K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11K8.6¢8.5¢-$117
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$16K34¢15¢-$9.0K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K3.9¢3.6¢-$191
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?MLBYes$60884¢97¢+$98
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K20¢4.0¢-$1.6K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$26126¢26¢-$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$6612.2¢0.8¢-$438
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$5.4K40¢0.0¢-$5.4K
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$1152.3¢0.0¢-$115
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$444.1¢0.0¢-$44
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$9.5K25¢0.0¢-$9.5K
Flames vs. BluesNHLFlamesResolved$77443¢0.0¢-$774
Up Only podcast released by November 30?CryptoYesResolved$11K50¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$1.7K69¢0.0¢-$1.7K
49ers vs. RamsNFLRamsResolved$4.8K44¢0.0¢-$4.8K
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYesResolved$8624¢0.0¢-$86
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?MLBYesResolved$1326.0¢0.0¢-$132
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?PoliticsNoResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? CryptoYesResolved$6.8K85¢0.0¢-$6.8K
Celtics vs. 76ersNBACelticsResolved$42246¢0.0¢-$422
TikTok sale announced by October 31?TechYesResolved$31223¢0.0¢-$312
Jets vs. SharksNHLJetsResolved$1.3K64¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?CryptoYesResolved$39123¢0.0¢-$391
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$5.3K67¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K67¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4.1K8.8¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$13K8.7¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?FinanceNoResolved$1.0K63¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$2.8K11¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Hockey (other)YesResolved$2.5K50¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?CryptoYesResolved$79715¢0.0¢-$797
Royals vs. Red SoxMLBRed SoxResolved$1.0K57¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?MLBNoResolved$4.9K68¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Browns vs. JetsNFLBrownsResolved$1.1K55¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?CultureNoResolved$33.5¢0.0¢-$3
Rams vs. BearsNFLBearsResolved$94047¢0.0¢-$940
Bulls vs. BucksNBABullsResolved$72139¢0.0¢-$721
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1.0K7.0¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. AkronOther sportsAkronResolved$1.4K71¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? CryptoYesResolved$1.1K31¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?CryptoYesResolved$1.1K12¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Patriots vs. BuccaneersNFLBuccaneersResolved$85557¢0.0¢-$855
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5.7K14¢0.0¢-$5.7K
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$5105.1¢0.0¢-$510
Stars vs. SenatorsNHLSenatorsResolved$1.1K54¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Saints vs. PanthersNFLPanthersResolved$1.7K69¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?MLBYesResolved$22527¢0.0¢-$225
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?CryptoNoResolved$89330¢0.0¢-$893
76ers vs. WizardsNBAWizardsResolved$6364¢0.0¢-$63
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMANamajunasResolved$56028¢0.0¢-$560
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?CryptoYesResolved$19196¢0.0¢-$191
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?OtherNoResolved$1.5K29¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Jaguars vs. TitansNFLTitansResolved$56028¢0.0¢-$560
MLB All-Star GameMLBAmerican LeagueResolved$50050¢0.0¢-$500
Will LayerZero win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Other sportsYesResolved$32.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?CryptoYesResolved$54.3¢0.0¢-$5
Wild vs. IslandersNHLIslandersResolved$1.2K56¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K10¢0.0¢-$1.3K
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$347K50¢0.0¢-$347K
Sharks vs. WildNHLWildResolved$1.4K64¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Eagles vs. CowboysNFLEaglesResolved$1.2K60¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?MLBYesResolved$4242¢0.0¢-$42
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$3528¢0.0¢-$35
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?CultureYesResolved$7.7K16¢0.0¢-$7.7K
Raptors vs. NuggetsNBANuggetsResolved$1427¢0.0¢-$14
Ravens vs. BrownsNFLBrownsResolved$42021¢0.0¢-$420
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1363.7¢0.0¢-$136
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3476.8¢0.0¢-$347
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?PoliticsNoResolved$6270.6¢0.0¢-$627
Texans vs. ColtsNFLColtsResolved$1.6K63¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Suns vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$9.5K43¢0.0¢-$9.5K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3948.4¢0.0¢-$394
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$5829¢0.0¢-$58
Bills vs. DolphinsNFLBillsResolved$25K82¢0.0¢-$25K
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?MLBYesResolved$3.1K30¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?PoliticsNoResolved$26697¢0.0¢-$266
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$9.8K98¢0.0¢-$9.8K
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?CryptoYesResolved$7.2K73¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Cardano ETF in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$1.2K85¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?OtherYesResolved$87475¢0.0¢-$874
Blue Jays vs. MarinersMLBBlue JaysResolved$3003.0¢0.0¢-$300
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$4.6K46¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5140¢0.0¢-$51
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$9704.6¢0.0¢-$970
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?CryptoNoResolved$2.3K76¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Bills vs. TexansNFLBillsResolved$5.7K71¢0.0¢-$5.7K
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$7124¢0.0¢-$71
Cavaliers vs. HeatNBACavaliersResolved$2.2K74¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$4.9K63¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$11357¢0.0¢-$113
Jets vs. CanucksNHLCanucksResolved$49049¢0.0¢-$490
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAMax HollowayResolved$4.0K67¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Rockets vs. SpursNBARocketsResolved$2.7K58¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Rangers vs. Red WingsNHLRed WingsResolved$1.0K50¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Blue Jackets vs. KrakenNHLKrakenResolved$67652¢0.0¢-$676
Rockets vs. SpursNBARocketsResolved$1.0K62¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K7.9¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?MLBYesResolved$23547¢0.0¢-$235

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$395K
Crypto-$165K
MLB+$27K
Boxing-$13K
NFL+$12K
Tech-$11K
NBA-$9.9K
Culture-$8.8K
Economy-$7.9K
UFC / MMA-$7.0K
Formula 1-$5.3K
Mentions-$5.2K
Biggest hit
+$161K
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Toughest beat
-$94K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.4K1d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$38K1d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$21d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51d ago