 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $38K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$685 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $13K | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$166 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8.3K | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$495 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6.5K | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$950 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$933 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $4.4K | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$231 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$25 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $2.7K | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$268 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $2.6K | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$173 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 73¢ | 66¢ | -$300 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 83¢ | 75¢ | -$289 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$221 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $2.0K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$11 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.7K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$70 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.6K | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$90 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1.4K | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$132 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1.4K | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$87 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$232 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 57¢ | 54¢ | -$70 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 72¢ | 58¢ | -$265 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $962 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$52 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $890 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$75 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $898 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$38 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $810 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$110 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $880 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$25 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $750 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$145 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $640 | 32¢ | 45¢ | +$250 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $860 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $742 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$79 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Crypto | No | $840 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$45 |
 Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $857 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$63 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $766 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$19 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $800 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$25 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $750 | 75¢ | 70¢ | -$50 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $720 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$25 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $654 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 10¢ | 59¢ | +$492 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$848 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $517 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $780 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$280 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $455 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $481 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $465 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $450 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $380 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$53 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $325 | 65¢ | 86¢ | +$103 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $400 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$15 |
 Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $433 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$26 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $495 | 83¢ | 64¢ | -$109 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $307 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$25 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $530 | 53¢ | 30¢ | -$235 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $266 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$14 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $213 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$35 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $231 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $440 | 44¢ | 23¢ | -$215 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $191 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$19 |
 Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Crypto | No | $320 | 80¢ | 52¢ | -$113 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $185 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $152 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$14 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 74¢ | 63¢ | -$30 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $147 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$17 |
 StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $104 | 37¢ | 56¢ | +$54 |
 Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $152 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $195 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$55 |
 Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $135 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $232 | 58¢ | 34¢ | -$96 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto | No | $296 | 74¢ | 33¢ | -$164 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $142 | 71¢ | 65¢ | -$13 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $98 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
| StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $91 | 37¢ | 41¢ | +$9 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $87 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $86 | 44¢ | 51¢ | +$13 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $95 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $160 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$65 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $91 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?Crypto | Yes | $120 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$35 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $70 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$11 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 64¢ | 48¢ | -$25 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $71 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$6 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $189 | 63¢ | 22¢ | -$125 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Crypto | No | $343 | 69¢ | 13¢ | -$281 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $213 | 27¢ | 6.5¢ | -$161 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $136 | 34¢ | 13¢ | -$86 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$16 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $90 | 9.0¢ | 3.3¢ | -$58 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 2.1¢ | 3.0¢ | +$9 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $26 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $26 | 2.6¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 37¢ | 8.3¢ | -$58 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $18 | 67¢ | 48¢ | -$5 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 32¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |