 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $98 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 54¢ | 88¢ | +$39 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$11 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $50 | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$12 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $34 | 53¢ | 87¢ | +$22 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $47 | 53¢ | 60¢ | +$6 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 20¢ | 92¢ | +$36 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $36 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$5 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $17 | 24¢ | 50¢ | +$19 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 29¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 62¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $25 | 54¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 40¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $17 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 47¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $20 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Economy | No | $20 | 53¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$13 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 55¢ | +$8 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $10 | 62¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 44¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $13 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 61¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 70¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $5 | 26¢ | 70¢ | +$9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 55¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.25B by July 31?Finance | No | $10 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 8%+?Finance | No | $10 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $10 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | No | $10 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?Economy | No | $10 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $17 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $10 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | No | $10 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | No | $10 | 73¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 24¢ | 7.0¢ | -$22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $7 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in July?Finance | No | $5 | 54¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?Finance | Yes | $9 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Culture | No | $8 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | No | $4 | 29¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Politics | No | $8 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $10 | 77¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $5 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 GPU rental prices (H100) Up or Down in July?Tech | Up | $4 | 57¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 47¢ | +$2 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $6 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $6 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
 Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $4 | 72¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |