 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $101 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$21 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $72 | 68¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 26¢ | 88¢ | +$43 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 66¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $27 | 67¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 25¢ | 91¢ | +$26 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $25 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $10 | 29¢ | 68¢ | +$13 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?Politics | No | $16 | 54¢ | 74¢ | +$6 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 34¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 64¢ | 52¢ | -$5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 46¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 56¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 58¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 55¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 61¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in September?Finance | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 40¢ | +$6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $19 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?Economy | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 73¢ | +$5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $12 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 52¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 21¢ | 45¢ | +$8 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance | No | $30 | 64¢ | 31¢ | -$16 |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $11 | 53¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 41¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
 Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 25¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 63¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?Economy | No | $10 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in September?Finance | No | $10 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
 Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?Finance | Yes | $10 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | No | $10 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $10 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?Politics | V | $10 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | No | $7 | 57¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?Politics | Over | $10 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $10 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $10 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $8 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $10 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Politics | Yes | $8 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 60¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $8 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Tech | No | $10 | 78¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
Bought Over · Charmander Price Over/Under $38.79 on September 30?$04h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$138h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?$818h ago
Bought Yes · Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?$319h ago