 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $5 | 38¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 8.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.1¢ | 9.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $16 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Cashed out No · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$01mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$111mo ago