← Whale Watch

0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455

Predicting since Jan 2026361 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $138K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $26K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$18K on US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23K89¢99¢+$2.6K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11K66¢88¢+$3.4K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.4K87¢99¢+$763
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K90¢99¢+$517
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1K75¢100¢+$1.4K
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$4.0K33¢26¢-$898
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K71¢89¢+$426
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K67¢68¢+$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K28¢12¢-$2.9K
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K93¢100¢+$87
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K89¢97¢+$110
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K9.9¢4.8¢-$860
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K8.0¢4.5¢-$552
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.8K4.6¢1.4¢-$1.2K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.9K25¢6.5¢-$1.4K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.4K33¢12¢-$924
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsNo$41596¢99¢+$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$1.2K12¢3.9¢-$815
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$56114¢7.5¢-$259
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$18820¢25¢+$42
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2724.9¢3.9¢-$58
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4725.6¢2.1¢-$294
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$8898.0¢1.3¢-$750
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$29110¢3.5¢-$194
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2679.0¢3.1¢-$175
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$21220¢6.5¢-$144
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceYes$3112.8¢0.5¢-$256
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$74055¢2.9¢-$701
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8218¢3.8¢-$65
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1381¢95¢+$2
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$1815¢11¢-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$66715¢0.1¢-$660
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$6216¢1.1¢-$58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$44022¢0.0¢-$440
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?World CupYesResolved$382.3¢0.0¢-$38
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$33013¢0.0¢-$330
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$8643¢0.0¢-$86
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$3793.0¢0.0¢-$379
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?World CupYesResolved$40012¢0.0¢-$400
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$4059.0¢0.0¢-$405
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$3009.0¢0.0¢-$300
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$60024¢0.0¢-$600
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$1806.0¢0.0¢-$180
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3671.6¢0.0¢-$367
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$61541¢0.0¢-$615
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$72833¢0.0¢-$728
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$1693.8¢0.0¢-$169
Croatia vs. IsraelBasketball (other)IsraelResolved$3897.0¢0.0¢-$389
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$2502.5¢0.0¢-$250
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.0K9.3¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$1404.0¢0.0¢-$140
Portugal leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$60013¢0.0¢-$600
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$2.0K25¢0.0¢-$2.0K
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$53238¢0.0¢-$532
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?World CupYesResolved$2365.3¢0.0¢-$236
Norway leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1667.5¢0.0¢-$166
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$35813¢0.0¢-$358
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?World CupYesResolved$491.8¢0.0¢-$49
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$27721¢0.0¢-$277
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$78039¢0.0¢-$780
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$77531¢0.0¢-$775
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$1203.0¢0.0¢-$120
France leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1.4K59¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$10011¢0.0¢-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?World CupNoResolved$40030¢0.0¢-$400
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1004.0¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$2138.5¢0.0¢-$213
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$64716¢0.0¢-$647
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$3897.0¢0.0¢-$389
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupColombiaResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$15932¢0.0¢-$159
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$2.3K40¢0.0¢-$2.3K
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$42028¢0.0¢-$420
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$3993.3¢0.0¢-$399
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1875.0¢0.0¢-$187
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?World CupYesResolved$1255.0¢0.0¢-$125
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$44357¢0.0¢-$443
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$1044.7¢0.0¢-$104
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$3507.0¢0.0¢-$350
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?World CupYesResolved$851.1¢0.0¢-$85
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?World CupYesResolved$3897.0¢0.0¢-$389
France leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$80032¢0.0¢-$800
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$1007.0¢0.0¢-$100
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$33628¢0.0¢-$336
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$42014¢0.0¢-$420
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$52521¢0.0¢-$525
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$4.1K20¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$1005.0¢0.0¢-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$22010¢0.0¢-$220
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K8.7¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGhanaResolved$3568.0¢0.0¢-$356
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicTennisFelix Auger-AliassimeResolved$2429¢0.0¢-$24
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$66712¢0.0¢-$667
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?World CupYesResolved$1977.0¢0.0¢-$197
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$34728¢0.0¢-$347
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$1495.5¢0.0¢-$149
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?World CupYesResolved$87811¢0.0¢-$878
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$32085¢0.0¢-$320
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$23.5¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$5009.0¢0.0¢-$500

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$138K
World Cup-$3.9K
Finance-$1.8K
Tennis+$1.3K
Basketball (other)-$389
NBA-$208
La Liga-$190
Mentions+$48
Champions League-$30
Biggest hit
+$18K
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.4K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$6618m ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$31h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$1615h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$1.9K5h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$7412h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$013h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$16613h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$013h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$013h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$30313h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$73117h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$3631d ago