| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | No | $182 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$46 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $209 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$7 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $162 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$14 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 57¢ | 82¢ | +$46 |
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $100 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $90 | 90¢ | 83¢ | -$6 |
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $78 | 64¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $72 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$2 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $55 | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | No | $59 | 59¢ | 52¢ | -$7 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | No | $34 | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $36 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $29 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$4 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Politics | No | $36 | 37¢ | 26¢ | -$11 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 6.3¢ | 4.7¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $9 | 38¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $224 | 64¢ | 3.5¢ | -$212 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Weather | No | $10 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$5 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | No | $11 | 54¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $9 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 31¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 7.4¢ | -$9 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 39¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $11 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 35¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ | 3.3¢ | +$2 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | No | $8 | 17¢ | 3.5¢ | -$7 |
X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 45¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 2.7¢ | -$5 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $295 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$295 |
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $4 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryTennis | Flavio CobolliResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $10 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $18 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $37 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | AlgeriaResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaTennis | Alejandro Davidovich FokinaResolved | $28 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageeSports | 9zResolved | $22 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Megaquake by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | CroatiaResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner TienTennis | Learner TienResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur FeryTennis | Zizou BergsResolved | $27 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel CerundoloTennis | Juan Manuel CerundoloResolved | $30 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $42 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick HanfmannTennis | Yannick HanfmannResolved | $30 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $8 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $28 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | NoResolved | $19 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |