← Whale Watch

Rawdy

Predicting since Dec 20258,667 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.9K on World Cup markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $863 across 3 World Cup markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7537¢43¢+$12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$2996¢100¢+$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1958¢69¢+$3
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢-$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$1997¢99¢+$0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1997¢97¢-$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$1888¢92¢+$1
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1597¢97¢+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1189¢100¢+$1
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1082¢87¢+$1
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesMLBAtlanta Braves$1260¢56¢-$1
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$10100¢100¢+$0
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$10100¢100¢+$0
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$10100¢100¢+$0
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York Yankees$1052¢48¢-$1
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$1055¢50¢-$1
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$884¢86¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$826¢28¢+$0
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$565¢99¢+$2
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$670¢74¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?PoliticsNo$767¢65¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$336¢60¢+$2
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$557¢66¢+$1
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$592¢99¢+$0
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$596¢99¢+$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$595¢97¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsNo$480¢93¢+$1
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$440¢42¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$566¢63¢-$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$482¢88¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$472¢83¢+$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$494¢92¢-$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$436¢34¢-$0
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$383¢90¢+$0
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$239¢66¢+$1
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG LandersBaseball (other)Samsung Lions$458¢48¢-$1
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$377¢86¢+$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$363¢64¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$269¢99¢+$1
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$272¢98¢+$1
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$386¢98¢+$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$366¢68¢+$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$385¢87¢+$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$219¢25¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$389¢83¢-$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$225¢28¢+$0
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$273¢78¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$283¢87¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$294¢91¢-$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$244¢44¢-$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$365¢53¢-$1
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 TOUR Championship?GolfNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$157¢94¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$228¢22¢-$0
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$231¢22¢-$1
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsNo$178¢89¢+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$112¢16¢+$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$195¢98¢+$0
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$1986¢0.0¢-$19
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5Other sportsUnderResolved$648¢0.0¢-$6
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5MLBUnderResolved$1649¢0.0¢-$16
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5MLBOverResolved$256¢0.0¢-$2
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5MLBOverResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsNinjas in PyjamasResolved$1064¢0.0¢-$10
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$7731¢0.0¢-$77
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Other sportsUnderResolved$454¢0.0¢-$4
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta CocciarettoTennisElisabetta CocciarettoResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?WeatherNoResolved$256¢0.0¢-$2
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5MLBUnderResolved$1570¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)MLBArizona DiamondbacksResolved$586¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)MLBBaltimore OriolesResolved$466¢0.0¢-$4
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$282¢0.0¢-$2
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Other sportsUnderResolved$955¢0.0¢-$9
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5NBAOverResolved$437¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?WeatherNoResolved$264¢0.0¢-$2
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia ParksTennisAlycia ParksResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$47042¢0.0¢-$470
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$64.6¢0.0¢-$6
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5NBAUnderResolved$2178¢0.0¢-$21
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise KouameTennisAdolfo VallejoResolved$1285¢0.0¢-$12
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5MLBOverResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise MertensTennisElise MertensResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$273¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnereSportsagainst All authorityResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$1560¢0.0¢-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5MLBOverResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: France (-3.5)World CupFranceResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageeSportsPARIVISIONResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$559¢0.0¢-$5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5MLBUnderResolved$683¢0.0¢-$6
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMAOverResolved$261¢0.0¢-$2
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5NBANoResolved$1248¢0.0¢-$12
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)MLBToronto Blue JaysResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$3.9K
NBA-$3.0K
NHL-$2.3K
MLB-$1.4K
Champions League-$1.2K
Tennis-$802
La Liga+$639
Soccer (other)+$531
Bundesliga-$295
NFL+$275
eSports-$263
Basketball (other)+$169
Biggest hit
+$924
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans

Recent moves

  • Bought Over · Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5$512h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros · Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)$512h ago
  • Cashed out New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$512h ago
  • Sold New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$31d ago
  • Bought New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$51d ago
  • Cashed out Under · Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5$81d ago
  • Bought Under · Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5$41d ago
  • Bought Chicago White Sox · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$41d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 24?$101d ago
  • Bought New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees$62d ago
  • Bought Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$122d ago
  • Bought No · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$52d ago