Alphax

Predicting since Nov 20241,479 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $102K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $123K riding on Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?.

Biggest hit: +$11K on Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$8.7K	85¢	84¢	-$124
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$5.5K	77¢	84¢	+$500
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$4.0K	60¢	79¢	+$1.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2.2K	65¢	79¢	+$447
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$3.7K	38¢	21¢	-$1.7K
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics	No	$568	54¢	78¢	+$254
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$700	70¢	62¢	-$85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics	Yes	$443	63¢	62¢	-$11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	No	$174	87¢	87¢	-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics	No	$112	56¢	80¢	+$48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics	No	$51	46¢	73¢	+$29
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics	No	$31	40¢	33¢	-$6
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$31	61¢	50¢	-$6
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics	No	$20	81¢	89¢	+$2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture	No	$20	98¢	98¢	+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$16	82¢	82¢	+$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$12	81¢	95¢	+$2
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Finance	Yes	$133	65¢	5.5¢	-$122
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics	No	$9	86¢	92¢	+$1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$6	89¢	92¢	+$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	53¢	51¢	-$0
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$910	62¢	0.0¢	-$910
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2.9K	28¢	0.0¢	-$2.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$34	33¢	0.0¢	-$34
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Politics	NoResolved	$42K	81¢	0.0¢	-$42K
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?Crypto	NoResolved	$123K	59¢	0.0¢	-$123K
Norway to score first vs. England?World Cup	NoResolved	$3	68¢	0.0¢	-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$6.6K	94¢	0.0¢	-$6.6K
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Politics	NoResolved	$16	79¢	0.0¢	-$16
Norway leading at halftime?World Cup	YesResolved	$43	86¢	0.0¢	-$43
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$25	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Politics	NoResolved	$15	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$102K

Politics-$97K

World Cup-$16K

Economy+$3.0K

Champions League-$2.3K

Mentions+$1.6K

Tech+$1.6K

Soccer (other)+$1.4K

Culture+$1.2K

Boxing+$170

Finance-$103

NBA-$65

Biggest hit

+$11K

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Toughest beat

-$26K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Recent moves

Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$429m ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$2.9K8h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$668h ago
Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$18011h ago
Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$2.1K11h ago
Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$42511h ago
Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$20211h ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$21017h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$23417h ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$18518h ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$17918h ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$18818h ago