ernestosparalesto

Predicting since Jun 2026513 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics	No	$9	83¢	87¢	+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics	No	$7	89¢	92¢	+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics	No	$6	79¢	85¢	+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Politics	Yes	$5	82¢	84¢	+$0
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Politics	No	$5	88¢	86¢	-$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech	No	$4	71¢	86¢	+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Politics	No	$4	73¢	72¢	-$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$3	59¢	77¢	+$1
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics	No	$3	64¢	74¢	+$1
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy	No	$4	74¢	74¢	+$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics	No	$4	70¢	69¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$3	79¢	87¢	+$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other	Yes	$3	86¢	87¢	+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Politics	Yes	$3	61¢	56¢	-$0
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffseSports	Ground Zero	$3	51¢	51¢	-$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$3	59¢	51¢	-$0
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$3	56¢	39¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?Weather	NoResolved	$3	45¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?Weather	NoResolved	$4	64¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	12¢	0.0¢	-$5
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports	Arctic PandasResolved	$3	59¢	0.0¢	-$3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnereSports	SpiritResolved	$3	71¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$5	59¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 15?Weather	NoResolved	$3	63¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?Weather	NoResolved	$1	51¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?Crypto	NoResolved	$3	73¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?Weather	NoResolved	$3	69¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?Weather	NoResolved	$3	63¢	0.0¢	-$3
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)eSports	LYONResolved	$3	55¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World Cup	YesResolved	$64	42¢	0.0¢	-$64
Kashima Antlers vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)	UnderResolved	$3	49¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 20?Weather	NoResolved	$3	52¢	0.0¢	-$3
Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Champions League	UnderResolved	$3	53¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$45

Weather-$42

Politics-$16

Crypto-$11

Soccer (other)+$7

Economy+$5

Tennis+$4

Culture+$3

MLB-$3

Bundesliga-$2

Tech+$2

La Liga+$2

Biggest hit

+$23

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Toughest beat

-$8

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Recent moves

Sold paiN · Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs$51h ago
Bought paiN · Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs$413h ago
Bought Ground Zero · Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs$313h ago
Bought No · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?$322h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?$61d ago
Cashed out Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Giant Pandas (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group C$31d ago
Bought GenOne · Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Giant Pandas (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group C$31d ago
Sold No · Trump renames AI by September 30?$41d ago
Sold Yes · Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21d ago
Bought No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?$31d ago
Sold No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?$41d ago
Cashed out No · Will Inter Toronto FC win on 2026-09-23?$62d ago