 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $264 | 68¢ | 58¢ | -$40 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $186 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $199 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $168 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | No | $157 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $154 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$13 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $142 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $113 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$8 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $94 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $79 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?Politics | No | $72 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$12 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $53 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $50 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $44 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $39 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $36 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $29 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $28 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $27 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $18 | 92¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $12 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 76¢ | 49¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $5 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $4 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 62¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $1 | 43¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $1 | 53¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 90¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Sold No · AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$31h ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1517h ago