0xcd9d…b99e

183 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$15	92¢	100¢	+$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	No	$9	59¢	77¢	+$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	78¢	87¢	+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$6	77¢	100¢	+$2
Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$7	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$8	85¢	80¢	-$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$5	94¢	96¢	+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	87¢	100¢	+$1
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$4	80¢	87¢	+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	55¢	100¢	+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	38¢	20¢	-$2
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	59¢	73¢	+$0
Iran leadership change by August 15?Politics	NoResolved	$2	98¢	100¢	+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	No	$0	0.0¢	99¢	+$2
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	89¢	100¢	+$0
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2	95¢	98¢	+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	94¢	100¢	+$0
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	47¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	53¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	82¢	0.0¢	-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	50¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics	NoResolved	$2	64¢	0.0¢	-$2
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	49¢	0.0¢	-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$15	79¢	0.0¢	-$15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$5	40¢	0.0¢	-$5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	56¢	0.0¢	-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2	47¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$96

Culture+$1

World Cup+$1

Biggest hit

+$11

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$8

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$41mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?$71mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?$81mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$21mo ago
Bought No · Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?$71mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?$71mo ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$21mo ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$41mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$91mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?$11mo ago
Sold No · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?$11mo ago