← Whale Watch

sleepymonkey

Predicting since Mar 2026825 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.9K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $1.1K across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$62391¢94¢+$19
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?PoliticsNo$45676¢99¢+$137
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$55389¢92¢+$15
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$50195¢98¢+$19
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?EconomyNo$46894¢91¢-$14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41383¢91¢+$40
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$28882¢94¢+$39
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$27090¢99¢+$27
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsNo$30687¢85¢-$10
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$28796¢99¢+$8
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$21162¢86¢+$81
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$27090¢97¢+$19
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$27893¢96¢+$10
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?PoliticsNo$24381¢95¢+$42
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$27592¢93¢+$3
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$27090¢92¢+$6
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$26187¢87¢+$0
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$21389¢98¢+$22
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$19866¢73¢+$20
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?PoliticsYes$19882¢90¢+$18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20842¢43¢+$6
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$6023¢81¢+$153
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 10%?PoliticsNo$21091¢93¢+$3
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?PoliticsYes$20769¢71¢+$5
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$21988¢84¢-$10
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$20295¢95¢+$0
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$15978¢98¢+$41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19496¢99¢+$6
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?EconomyNo$18090¢97¢+$13
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsNo$19095¢96¢+$2
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?PoliticsYes$17789¢96¢+$15
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$18894¢95¢+$2
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsYes$10251¢94¢+$86
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$28394¢62¢-$97
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17157¢61¢+$11
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$16790¢97¢+$13
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$14867¢81¢+$31
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?CultureNo$18190¢89¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$15879¢88¢+$17
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$15084¢96¢+$21
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$16867¢66¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$20874¢58¢-$45
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$15590¢92¢+$4
Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?PoliticsNo$17174¢67¢-$17
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$14993¢96¢+$4
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$18072¢60¢-$31
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$12943¢50¢+$20
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$13892¢98¢+$9
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?EconomyNo$15396¢92¢-$7
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$11275¢94¢+$29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$13065¢68¢+$5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11423¢27¢+$20
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$13186¢88¢+$2
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$5017¢44¢+$80
Will Mike Rogers win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?PoliticsYes$12294¢99¢+$7
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$11890¢99¢+$11
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$7738¢61¢+$44
Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?PoliticsYes$12181¢79¢-$4
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$7826¢39¢+$39
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$10891¢97¢+$7
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$9060¢77¢+$26
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsYes$9875¢88¢+$16
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$10836¢38¢+$5
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$10386¢93¢+$8
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$11739¢37¢-$6
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$8557¢73¢+$23
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$91.6¢18¢+$95
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$9281¢89¢+$8
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 6%?PoliticsYes$9692¢95¢+$3
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$9292¢99¢+$7
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢98¢+$7
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?PoliticsYes$11.0¢97¢+$96
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$8888¢96¢+$8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$9292¢95¢+$3
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?EconomyNo$9292¢94¢+$2
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$11557¢46¢-$24
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$8585¢91¢+$6
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$5120¢35¢+$37
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?EconomyYes$5126¢44¢+$36
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$6464¢87¢+$23
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$9881¢71¢-$12
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$8852¢50¢-$3
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsYes$9374¢67¢-$10
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$7786¢92¢+$6
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$8187¢89¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$3612¢28¢+$47
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?EconomyYes$3825¢55¢+$44
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$7787¢93¢+$5
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?CultureNo$8581¢78¢-$3
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$11959¢40¢-$39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$21672¢27¢-$136
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$8686¢77¢-$9
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$5522¢31¢+$21
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$7268¢72¢+$4
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?EconomyYes$6935¢37¢+$4
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$9756¢43¢-$24
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$9749¢37¢-$24
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$3544¢92¢+$37
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsYes$5935¢42¢+$12
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$4761¢91¢+$23

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$7.9K
Finance-$474
Tech+$170
World Cup+$165
Economy-$74
eSports+$22
Culture-$6
Soccer (other)+$0
Tennis+$0
Biggest hit
+$576
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.9K
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Netflix win the most Emmys?$41h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?$14h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?$15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?$466h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$16h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$26h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$16h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$46h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$186h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?$011h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?$011h ago