 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $11K | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$2.6K |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $4.0K | 31¢ | 68¢ | +$4.9K |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$232 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1000 | 59¢ | 82¢ | +$393 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $845 | 41¢ | 66¢ | +$506 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $169 | 18¢ | 82¢ | +$605 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $450 | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$93 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $330 | 60¢ | 55¢ | -$30 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $262 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$38 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts?Politics | No | $300 | 78¢ | 59¢ | -$73 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$23 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $191 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $300 | 6.4¢ | 3.9¢ | -$120 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $150 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $104 | 68¢ | 95¢ | +$41 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 59¢ | 86¢ | +$28 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $300 | 74¢ | 18¢ | -$227 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 33¢ | 80¢ | +$39 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
| Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 55¢ | 71¢ | +$12 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $50 | 4.6¢ | 4.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $36 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 35¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 63¢ | +$6 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | No | $17 | 67¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $12 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $23 | 4.3¢ | 1.7¢ | -$14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 57¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 51¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 8.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $618 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$618 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $96 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $60 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Politics | YesResolved | $141 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $200 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 327?UFC / MMA | NoResolved | $1.9K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Transgender" at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Politics | NoResolved | $140 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $269 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$269 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $53 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $650 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$650 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $290 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $354 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$354 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Politics | YesResolved | $264 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2.5K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?Politics | YesResolved | $214 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$214 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
