Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $10K | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$2.5K |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $4.0K | 31¢ | 78¢ | +$6.1K |
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 77¢ | +$455 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $845 | 41¢ | 76¢ | +$711 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$33 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $430 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$134 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $113 | 18¢ | 83¢ | +$412 |
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $300 | 65¢ | 98¢ | +$149 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $300 | 52¢ | 57¢ | +$31 |
Maduro guilty of all counts?Politics | No | $300 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $100 | 40¢ | 96¢ | +$140 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$48 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $300 | 74¢ | 49¢ | -$101 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $262 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$67 |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | No | $112 | 44¢ | 55¢ | +$27 |
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $191 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$110 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 33¢ | 87¢ | +$45 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 54¢ | 78¢ | +$22 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 1.4¢ | 1.0¢ | -$29 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 65¢ | 88¢ | +$17 |
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 55¢ | 71¢ | +$12 |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 35¢ | 87¢ | +$15 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | Yes | $75 | 5.6¢ | 1.8¢ | -$51 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $20 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather | No | $20 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $23 | 4.3¢ | 3.5¢ | -$5 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 52¢ | +$4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$3 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $12 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 43¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 57¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 68¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | Yes | $11 | 9.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 51¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | No | $1 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 7.8¢ | +$0 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will Trump or Melania say "Transgender" at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $981 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$981 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |