US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $318 | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$47 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $254 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$10 |
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | No | $192 | 41¢ | 52¢ | +$47 |
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $248 | 54¢ | 49¢ | -$25 |
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $203 | 53¢ | 58¢ | +$19 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $198 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$24 |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $216 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?Finance | Yes | $223 | 77¢ | 70¢ | -$21 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $189 | 62¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $151 | 43¢ | 49¢ | +$19 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $129 | 44¢ | 52¢ | +$21 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $243 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$105 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $127 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 38¢ | 45¢ | +$20 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $228 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$103 |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $112 | 39¢ | 41¢ | +$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?Weather | No | $98 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $92 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $67 | 27¢ | 37¢ | +$23 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 55¢ | 62¢ | +$10 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $82 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $105 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$22 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?Weather | No | $52 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $79 | 59¢ | 53¢ | -$9 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $266 | 23¢ | 5.9¢ | -$198 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $66 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $44 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$5 |
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $189 | 25¢ | 5.0¢ | -$150 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 23¢ | 12¢ | -$35 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?Weather | No | $7 | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $29 | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 26?Weather | No | $32 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | No | $27 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 26?Weather | No | $28 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?Weather | No | $10 | 8.2¢ | 21¢ | +$15 |
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 11¢ | 7.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Politics | Yes | $20 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 2.7¢ | 1.5¢ | -$15 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?Weather | No | $14 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $18 | 7.7¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.1¢ | 5.7¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $15 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $30 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$14 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $15 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?Culture | No | $148 | 27¢ | 2.8¢ | -$133 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 24¢ | 29¢ | +$2 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?Weather | No | $11 | 7.6¢ | 8.0¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $57 | 12¢ | 2.4¢ | -$46 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $41 | 5.1¢ | 1.4¢ | -$30 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $9 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $9 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $54 | 31¢ | 4.5¢ | -$46 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.6¢ | 0.6¢ | -$12 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $5 | 34¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?Culture | Yes | $6 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?Weather | No | $4 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | No | $4 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $17 | 5.8¢ | 1.5¢ | -$13 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 3.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$3 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$18 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 18¢ | 1.8¢ | -$31 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.6¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?Culture | No | $1 | 14¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $2 | 5.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.8¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |