← Whale Watch

rocky42023

Predicting since Jun 20255,582 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.9K on Soccer (other) markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $795 across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$31838¢33¢-$47
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsNo$25472¢69¢-$10
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLBNo$19241¢52¢+$47
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$24854¢49¢-$25
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsNo$20353¢58¢+$19
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$19866¢74¢+$24
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$21694¢94¢+$1
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?FinanceYes$22377¢70¢-$21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$18962¢62¢-$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$17788¢93¢+$9
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$15143¢49¢+$19
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$12944¢52¢+$21
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$24320¢12¢-$105
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$12795¢99¢+$5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$10938¢45¢+$20
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$22822¢12¢-$103
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLNo$11239¢41¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?WeatherNo$9857¢60¢+$5
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsYes$9269¢69¢-$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$6727¢37¢+$23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7555¢62¢+$10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8275¢78¢+$3
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$10521¢17¢-$22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$5270¢100¢+$22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7525¢25¢-$1
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$7959¢53¢-$9
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$26623¢5.9¢-$198
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$6684¢82¢-$1
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$6197¢99¢+$1
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?EconomyYes$4424¢27¢+$5
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$18925¢5.0¢-$150
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6923¢12¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?WeatherNo$720¢100¢+$27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?WeatherYes$2935¢40¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 26?WeatherNo$3278¢78¢+$0
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsNo$2747¢48¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?PoliticsNo$2119¢25¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 26?WeatherNo$2856¢51¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2424¢26¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?WeatherNo$108.2¢21¢+$15
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2496¢98¢+$1
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$3311¢7.0¢-$12
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?PoliticsYes$2036¢35¢-$1
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$332.7¢1.5¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1478¢100¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 27?WeatherYes$187.7¢7.5¢-$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$155.1¢5.7¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$157.0¢7.5¢+$1
Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$3022¢12¢-$14
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsNo$1529¢31¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1522¢23¢+$0
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?CultureNo$14827¢2.8¢-$133
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1339¢38¢-$0
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?PoliticsNo$1024¢29¢+$2
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$117.6¢8.0¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$5712¢2.4¢-$46
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$415.1¢1.4¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1160¢59¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?WeatherYes$936¢42¢+$1
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$817¢18¢+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$171.4¢0.7¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 26?WeatherYes$955¢51¢-$1
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$5431¢4.5¢-$46
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.3¢0.9¢-$3
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$201.6¢0.6¢-$12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$534¢45¢+$2
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureYes$641¢45¢+$0
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$61.0¢0.8¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$477¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$30.6¢0.9¢+$2
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsNo$490¢93¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 27?WeatherYes$522¢19¢-$1
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$175.8¢1.5¢-$13
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?TechNo$23.2¢8.5¢+$3
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?CultureYes$727¢15¢-$3
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$222.9¢0.5¢-$18
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$58.4¢6.5¢-$1
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?PoliticsYes$3518¢1.8¢-$31
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsYes$48.6¢6.9¢-$1
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?PoliticsYes$60.8¢0.4¢-$3
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$114¢56¢+$2
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$119¢52¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 27?WeatherYes$118¢31¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?WeatherYes$25.7¢4.5¢-$0
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$11.8¢3.8¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Soccer (other)-$1.9K
UFC / MMA-$1.5K
Crypto+$1.3K
Champions League-$1.2K
Politics+$1.1K
Basketball (other)-$1.0K
Tech+$804
Bundesliga-$753
Cricket+$695
NFL+$670
Other sports-$609
eSports-$568
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?$134s ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?$045s ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?$51m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?$01m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?$31m ago
  • Sold No · Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1615m ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$15116m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?$736m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?$253m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?$121h ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?$11h ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?$101h ago