Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 74¢ | 59¢ | -$291 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $344 | 43¢ | 30¢ | -$108 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $237 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$121 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $72 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $40 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 48¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 57¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 53¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 47¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 28¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 44¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
| Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 53¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $430 | 36¢ | 0.5¢ | -$424 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 53¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 6.5¢ | -$25 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 57¢ | -$3 |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 54¢ | -$4 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 19¢ | 7.0¢ | -$6 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.0¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 70¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 57¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $6 | 79¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 5.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |