 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 64¢ | +$47 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $74 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $100 | 50¢ | 32¢ | -$37 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 38¢ | 63¢ | +$25 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $42 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $39 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$4 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 29¢ | 68¢ | +$23 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $43 | 87¢ | 77¢ | -$5 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
 OKX IPO in 2026?Crypto | No | $33 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $27 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$5 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$6 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $28 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $28 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $28 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 50¢ | +$14 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $20 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $27 | 53¢ | 42¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $16 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 28¢ | +$8 |
 Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $16 | 79¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$4 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $22 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$10 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $22 | 44¢ | 22¢ | -$11 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Politics | No | $9 | 46¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 51¢ | -$4 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | No | $10 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 46¢ | +$3 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech | No | $14 | 72¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 54¢ | 18¢ | -$14 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 29¢ | -$11 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 15¢ | -$7 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 22¢ | 0.5¢ | -$43 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $13 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.2B?Finance | YesResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $44 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?Culture | YesResolved | $68 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
 Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 7.5 Total CornersSoccer (other) | OverResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $49 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBA | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?Finance | YesResolved | $49 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier League | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta ParejaTennis | Heather WatsonResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Crypto | NoResolved | $36 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $14 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $32 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Rusty Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will John Crimber win Bull Riding at the 2026 American Rodeo West Regional?Other sports | YesResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora KrejcikovaTennis | Barbora KrejcikovaResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $12 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $52 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?Finance | NoResolved | $56 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.1B?Finance | YesResolved | $28 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $51 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?Finance | YesResolved | $37 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| FDA approves Grace Therapeutics’ GTx-104?Tech | YesResolved | $33 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $93 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Cashed out Martin Damm · Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh$1007h ago