 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $645 | 51¢ | 84¢ | +$413 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $652 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $474 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$20 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $259 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$30 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $193 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$10 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $209 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $164 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 7.8¢ | 12¢ | +$31 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $87 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $55 | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$16 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $56 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $44 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $36 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 41¢ | 27¢ | -$15 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $31 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 5.4¢ | 3.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 22¢ | -$8 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 3.6¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $95 | 19¢ | 1.7¢ | -$87 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 51¢ | 17¢ | -$16 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | -$3 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 63¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 8.0¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 2.6¢ | -$5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Politics | YesResolved | $221 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $119 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$321d ago