Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $996 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$12 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $680 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$42 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $181 | 8.8¢ | 9.5¢ | +$14 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $181 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | Yes | $157 | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.?Formula 1 | Albon | $192 | 67¢ | 50¢ | -$49 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$18 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $151 | 14¢ | 2.8¢ | -$121 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $32 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$9 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $32 | 2.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$12 |
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $76 | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$56 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?Politics | Yes | $47 | 6.8¢ | 2.8¢ | -$28 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $24 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 34¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 9.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$16 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $3 | 67¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$20 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Mentions | NoResolved | $38 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $7 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $13 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $7 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture | YesResolved | $44 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $27 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the match between Anderlecht and TSG Hoffenheim end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $10 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump endorse Lindsey Graham for SC-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $195 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?Tech | YesResolved | $90 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $104 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $94 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $322 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$322 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $242 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$242 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics | DemocraticResolved | $1.5K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $22 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $711 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$711 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $16 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Who will finish higher: Perez or Bottas?Formula 1 | BottasResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
F1 Singapore GP: Leclerc vs. RussellFormula 1 | LeclercResolved | $58 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $78 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $62 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $24 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?Formula 1 | HulkenbergResolved | $396 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$396 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US military action against Iran by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $32 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $53 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Politics | NoResolved | $2.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $149 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $320 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$320 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the US sanction UK before April?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $49 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |