 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 17¢ | 95¢ | +$68 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $62 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $31 | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $30 | 48¢ | 61¢ | +$8 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $50 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$23 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $20 | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 71¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 60¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $10 | 69¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 62¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $157 | 28¢ | 1.7¢ | -$148 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$11 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $10 | 63¢ | 52¢ | -$2 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | No | $5 | 78¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $6 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $6 | 92¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 49¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | Yes | $10 | 88¢ | 13¢ | -$9 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $77 | 19¢ | 0.4¢ | -$76 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 89¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 69¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $1 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $1 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $1 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $1 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 69¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $140 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $228 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netflix reach $105 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Economy | NoResolved | $20 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?Finance | NoResolved | $778 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$778 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $310 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance | NoResolved | $6 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Finance | UpResolved | $50 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Cashed out No · Anthropic CEO arrested?$112d ago
Cashed out No · Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?$112d ago
Cashed out No · Tucker Carlson federally charged?$112d ago