← Whale Watch

ClearMove

Predicting since Oct 20241,061 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.0K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.2K on US military action against Iran by Monday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$53096¢98¢+$8
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsYes$80811¢5.5¢-$386
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K64¢21¢-$817
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7808.7¢4.4¢-$384
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$58029¢20¢-$190
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$29699¢100¢+$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$11322¢52¢+$151
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$5644.3¢1.5¢-$375
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$16020¢24¢+$28
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$2851.5¢0.9¢-$125
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11022¢25¢+$13
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$18012¢7.5¢-$67
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsYes$1206.0¢5.5¢-$10
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$32217¢5.5¢-$220
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$7715¢18¢+$12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$13013¢8.5¢-$45
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2205.5¢1.7¢-$152
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$835.0¢4.0¢-$17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$4494.0¢0.5¢-$388
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2667.7¢1.8¢-$204
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$75123¢1.7¢-$698
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$60030¢2.6¢-$548
Megaquake by July 31?WeatherYes$2048.2¢2.0¢-$154
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$12213¢4.0¢-$82
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$28122¢2.9¢-$244
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?PoliticsYes$5911¢5.5¢-$29
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$5511¢4.5¢-$33
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsYes$6334¢11¢-$42
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$106.4¢10¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1226¢19¢-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$25632¢0.9¢-$249
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$159.0¢3.6¢-$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$12012¢0.5¢-$114
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1125¢12¢-$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoYes$1533¢11¢-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$67222¢0.1¢-$668
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?CryptoYes$14014¢0.4¢-$136
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$6059.2¢0.0¢-$605
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$778.6¢0.0¢-$77
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?PoliticsNoResolved$1617.3¢0.0¢-$161
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 20 2026?FinanceYesResolved$250.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$363.2¢0.0¢-$36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$25717¢0.0¢-$257
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?FinanceYesResolved$305.1¢0.0¢-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?FinanceYesResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$10010¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$12K
Weather+$1.7K
Crypto-$981
Finance-$202
Culture-$195
Mentions-$34
Economy-$12
Tech-$1
Biggest hit
+$6.2K
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$5303h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$10018h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$121h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$421h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1521h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$021h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$321h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$1221d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$51d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$61d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$81d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1131d ago