 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 52¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |