← Whale Watch

wozaitaibei

Predicting since Jun 2026510 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.0K across 5 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$81978¢83¢+$50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20126¢54¢+$211
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$25659¢80¢+$86
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$46761¢42¢-$147
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$19559¢56¢-$10
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$11024¢39¢+$72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18417¢17¢-$3
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$9851¢81¢+$57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6720¢30¢+$31
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$8518¢20¢+$5
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$15032¢19¢-$64
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$5637¢47¢+$15
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$14133¢16¢-$72
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$5913¢13¢+$1
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$4692¢98¢+$3
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$511¢100¢+$40
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$3449¢64¢+$10
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?WeatherYes$2659¢89¢+$13
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$2618¢27¢+$13
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$429.0¢7.5¢-$7
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$4027¢21¢-$9
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$67.8¢40¢+$24
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2688¢99¢+$3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3611¢8.5¢-$8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$324.2¢3.6¢-$4
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$2469¢79¢+$3
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$3634¢26¢-$9
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?PoliticsYes$2132¢42¢+$6
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$911¢33¢+$18
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2021¢28¢+$6
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$1312¢23¢+$11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1314¢26¢+$11
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$3029¢23¢-$6
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2830¢25¢-$4
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?PoliticsYes$1422¢36¢+$9
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$2037¢34¢-$2
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$1110¢16¢+$5
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$1425¢30¢+$2
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?PoliticsYes$1871¢63¢-$2
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?PoliticsYes$1436¢39¢+$1
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$1329¢34¢+$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$293.8¢2.0¢-$14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$2513¢8.0¢-$10
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$96.1¢10.0¢+$6
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?WeatherYes$2335¢23¢-$8
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$1124¢31¢+$3
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$48.9¢31¢+$10
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$1930¢21¢-$6
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$819¢28¢+$4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$88.7¢13¢+$4
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$2657¢27¢-$14
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?EconomyYes$5164¢15¢-$39
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$49.9¢26¢+$7
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$819¢26¢+$3
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$1116¢16¢+$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$133.0¢2.5¢-$2
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?PoliticsYes$1129¢26¢-$1
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?WeatherYes$1219¢16¢-$2
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?WeatherYes$57.1¢16¢+$6
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?PoliticsYes$48.1¢23¢+$6
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1388¢67¢-$3
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$920¢22¢+$1
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?WeatherYes$1421¢15¢-$4
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?WeatherYes$35.1¢15¢+$6
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?PoliticsYes$1363¢45¢-$4
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$1942¢20¢-$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$101.3¢1.1¢-$1
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$414¢35¢+$5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$147.4¢4.6¢-$5
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$54.7¢7.5¢+$3
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?CultureYes$883¢79¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$82.5¢2.3¢-$1
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$519¢29¢+$3
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$520¢28¢+$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40.4¢0.7¢+$3
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$37.3¢14¢+$3
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$47.6¢12¢+$2
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$817¢14¢-$1
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?PoliticsYes$770¢57¢-$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$189.7¢2.9¢-$13
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?EconomyYes$44.4¢6.8¢+$2
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$426¢36¢+$1
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?PoliticsYes$16.9¢26¢+$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?PoliticsYes$59.7¢9.0¢-$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$88.2¢5.2¢-$3
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?PoliticsYes$49.5¢12¢+$1
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$530¢33¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$131.3¢0.4¢-$9
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$520¢19¢-$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?EconomyYes$521¢18¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsYes$713¢8.0¢-$3
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$438¢43¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$41.1¢1.3¢+$0
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$16.7¢26¢+$3
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$210¢25¢+$2
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$12.5¢8.1¢+$3
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$418¢13¢-$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$126.2¢1.7¢-$9
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$326¢32¢+$1
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?PoliticsYes$58.0¢4.8¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$191
Tech+$36
Economy+$29
Weather+$18
Finance+$5
Crypto+$2
Cricket+$2
World Cup-$2
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$371
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$4402d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$106d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$37510d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?$2010d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$1011d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$512d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?$40018d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$67018d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$11019d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?$021d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?$021d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?$021d ago