 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $201 | 26¢ | 65¢ | +$296 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $467 | 61¢ | 36¢ | -$193 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $195 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $98 | 51¢ | 93¢ | +$78 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $67 | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$44 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$19 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $5 | 7.1¢ | 86¢ | +$51 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 11¢ | 69¢ | +$46 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 21¢ | 44¢ | +$22 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $26 | 18¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 34¢ | 39¢ | +$4 |
 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $26 | 59¢ | 89¢ | +$14 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $34 | 49¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | Yes | $21 | 32¢ | 51¢ | +$12 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Politics | Yes | $14 | 22¢ | 46¢ | +$15 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $20 | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$6 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 14¢ | 23¢ | +$9 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $14 | 25¢ | 39¢ | +$7 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $40 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$19 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$7 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 29¢ | 42¢ | +$6 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $19 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $14 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.9¢ | 34¢ | +$11 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 7.8¢ | 16¢ | +$6 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $51 | 64¢ | 11¢ | -$42 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $9 | 6.1¢ | 5.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.2¢ | 8.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 29¢ | +$3 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $12 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 15¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $36 | 11¢ | 1.9¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.4¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.7¢ | 5.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 26¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 9.7¢ | 2.7¢ | -$13 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 8.9¢ | -$2 |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $14 | 7.4¢ | 2.4¢ | -$10 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.7¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $32 | 4.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$29 |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 42¢ | 7.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.6¢ | 7.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.7¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.4¢ | 7.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.5¢ | 7.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.8¢ | 2.8¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 7.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 4.7¢ | 2.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 5.2¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 4.4¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.7¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 7.9¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 4.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.6¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $12 | 6.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$10 |
 Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?Finance | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
| Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 3.5¢ | 3.2¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $25 | 13¢ | 0.8¢ | -$23 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.2¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $2 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Finance | Yes | $0 | 7.7¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 1.8¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $29 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$28 |
| Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 7.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.9¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $23 | 35¢ | 1.6¢ | -$22 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?Finance | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 19?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Cashed out Yes · Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$4655d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$256d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$4518d ago
Cashed out Yes · No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$151mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$4301mo ago
Cashed out Yes · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$301mo ago
Cashed out Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$501mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?$451mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$4401mo ago