pollybott

Predicting since Mar 2026884 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$217	77¢	80¢	+$6
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$226	0.9¢	0.9¢	-$13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$91	23¢	22¢	-$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$53	25¢	22¢	-$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$42	12¢	13¢	+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA	No	$23	66¢	100¢	+$12
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$26	89¢	98¢	+$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics	No	$24	62¢	65¢	+$1
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics	No	$24	94¢	95¢	+$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$24	100¢	99¢	-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	Yes	$31	20¢	13¢	-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Crypto	Yes	$34	4.7¢	2.0¢	-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics	Yes	$11	66¢	87¢	+$3
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech	Yes	$11	9.5¢	11¢	+$2
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics	No	$12	92¢	93¢	+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	Yes	$12	58¢	55¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto	Yes	$19	2.6¢	1.4¢	-$9
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$6	69¢	96¢	+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	87¢	93¢	+$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics	Yes	$6	11¢	12¢	+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics	Yes	$14	13¢	6.5¢	-$7
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	96¢	93¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	Yes	$25	4.4¢	0.5¢	-$22
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics	No	$2	65¢	87¢	+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics	No	$3	84¢	98¢	+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Crypto	Yes	$4	0.6¢	0.4¢	-$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics	Yes	$2	22¢	23¢	+$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	14¢	11¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Crypto	Yes	$4	1.1¢	0.4¢	-$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	No	$2	76¢	46¢	-$1
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions	No	$1	88¢	100¢	+$0
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	3.1¢	1.9¢	-$1
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	90¢	92¢	+$0
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech	NoResolved	$35	78¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$18	27¢	0.0¢	-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$423

Crypto+$80

Mentions+$64

Tech-$39

Weather-$27

Champions League-$22

NBA+$12

Culture+$11

UFC / MMA-$1

NFL+$0

eSports+$0

Biggest hit

+$236

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$184

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$1052m ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$231h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$121h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$121h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$121h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$121h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$103h ago
Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$126h ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5312h ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9112h ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4813h ago
Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1219h ago