 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.1K | 51¢ | 46¢ | -$333 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3.4K | 43¢ | 30¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $715 | 76¢ | 70¢ | -$60 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $350 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $634 | 35¢ | 18¢ | -$313 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $290 | 51¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $279 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $144 | 57¢ | 85¢ | +$70 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $151 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 69¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $106 | 31¢ | 46¢ | +$54 |
 Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $125 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $134 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $993 | 53¢ | 7.0¢ | -$860 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $127 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $133 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $101 | 53¢ | 61¢ | +$15 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $113 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $70 | 43¢ | 70¢ | +$43 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $89 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$22 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $94 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $285 | 53¢ | 17¢ | -$195 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 36¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$9 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $78 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $71 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 24¢ | 43¢ | +$31 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $446 | 43¢ | 6.5¢ | -$378 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $604 | 23¢ | 2.4¢ | -$542 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $64 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $57 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $40 | 56¢ | 82¢ | +$19 |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $55 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$11 |
 Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $38 | 29¢ | 39¢ | +$12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $114 | 24¢ | 11¢ | -$65 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $39 | 18¢ | 22¢ | +$9 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 62¢ | 40¢ | -$26 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $174 | 21¢ | 4.9¢ | -$134 |
 Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $37 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $145 | 23¢ | 6.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | Yes | $35 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | No | $35 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $33 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $33 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $31 | 43¢ | 39¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $59 | 7.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$31 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $136 | 18¢ | 3.5¢ | -$110 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$18 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $26 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?Economy | Yes | $12 | 0.9¢ | 1.9¢ | +$13 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $23 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 18¢ | 8.5¢ | -$28 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 8.6¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 62¢ | 35¢ | -$18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $19 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $33 | 8.2¢ | 5.5¢ | -$11 |
| Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $22 | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $291 | 34¢ | 2.2¢ | -$273 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $19 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $17 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $19 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $283 | 34¢ | 2.1¢ | -$265 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $57 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$40 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $27 | 64¢ | 39¢ | -$11 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 46¢ | 8.5¢ | -$69 |
| Will AfD win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $15 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $16 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $17 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 39¢ | 19¢ | -$14 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $59 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$47 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.6¢ | 6.4¢ | +$7 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 18¢ | 9.0¢ | -$11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $56 | 19¢ | 3.6¢ | -$45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $16 | 9.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $22 | 43¢ | 20¢ | -$12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 42¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $36 | 55¢ | 15¢ | -$26 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |