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TheRealWarMonger

Predicting since Oct 2025580 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $40K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $43K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$25K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$43K84¢57¢-$13K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$12K63¢71¢+$1.5K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.3K98¢99¢+$79
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7.1K60¢41¢-$2.3K
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4.0K98¢99¢+$20
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.3K98¢99¢+$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.8K100¢100¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.0K88¢81¢-$156
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K94¢95¢+$17
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$65863¢39¢-$251
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$28264¢73¢+$37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$19786¢80¢-$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$16683¢57¢-$52
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$9898¢99¢+$1
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$7272¢80¢+$8
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10074¢49¢-$34
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$1681¢65¢-$3
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$552¢62¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$206.6¢1.5¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$40K
World Cup-$25K
Crypto-$5.3K
Economy+$2.3K
College Hoops-$1.9K
Tech+$320
Culture+$151
UFC / MMA-$65
Mentions+$19
Finance+$16
Tennis+$5
Biggest hit
+$25K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$25K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$741m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7501h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1991h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.8K2h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4062h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3245h ago
  • Bought No · Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$196h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3366h ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1718h ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$858h ago