TheRealWarMonger

Predicting since Oct 2025614 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $50K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $26K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$25K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$13K	61¢	71¢	+$2.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$15K	48¢	45¢	-$1.3K
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$11K	97¢	100¢	+$322
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$8.3K	99¢	100¢	+$68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$5.2K	91¢	100¢	+$505
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech	No	$5.4K	96¢	97¢	+$77
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$4.3K	99¢	100¢	+$37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2.5K	35¢	54¢	+$1.3K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy	Yes	$2.4K	96¢	100¢	+$96
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics	No	$1.6K	98¢	99¢	+$12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.8K	75¢	58¢	-$420
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	No	$658	63¢	46¢	-$183
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$360	90¢	92¢	+$6
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$284	47¢	57¢	+$61
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$177	95¢	96¢	+$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$66	33¢	67¢	+$67
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$104	52¢	66¢	+$27
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto	No	$100	74¢	55¢	-$26
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)	No	$13	66¢	89¢	+$4
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Politics	No	$16	81¢	88¢	+$1
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$5	52¢	69¢	+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$5	70¢	68¢	-$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics	No	$3	95¢	99¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$50K

World Cup-$25K

Crypto-$5.3K

Economy+$3.3K

College Hoops-$1.9K

Tech+$490

Culture+$151

UFC / MMA-$65

Soccer (other)+$37

Mentions+$19

Finance+$16

Tennis+$5

Biggest hit

+$25K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$25K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?$3942d ago
Bought No · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$2992d ago
Sold No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$4822d ago
Sold No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$963d ago
Sold No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$1713d ago
Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$5774d ago
Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$5464d ago
Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$4964d ago
Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$2084d ago
Bought No · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$7.9K4d ago
Sold No · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$2.2K5d ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.4K5d ago