← Whale Watch

shine

Predicting since Feb 202422,728 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $28K across 25 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.6K on Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$14K50¢80¢+$8.2K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$14K50¢20¢-$8.2K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10.1¢24¢+$185
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢1.8¢+$67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$13.4¢100¢+$29
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$00.1¢9.4¢+$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?FinanceYesResolved$28.4¢100¢+$23
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.7¢+$27
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$13.1¢100¢+$22
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$519¢81¢+$17
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$14.5¢97¢+$20
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.4¢+$20
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes-$3-0.2¢0.9¢+$17
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$17.3¢86¢+$13
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢1.6¢+$12
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.1¢12¢+$11
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢2.1¢+$10
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢16¢+$9
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.3¢+$13
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$117¢100¢+$7
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$19.6¢63¢+$5
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.4¢+$7
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$598¢100¢+$0
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.1¢+$10
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢1.1¢+$5
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved$00.6¢100¢+$5
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.4¢+$6
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$05.9¢85¢+$4
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie AYesResolved$04.1¢100¢+$4
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.1¢4.2¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 27?WeatherNoResolved$267¢100¢+$1
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.3¢+$4
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.3¢+$4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.7¢+$3
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNoResolved$267¢100¢+$1
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$387¢98¢+$0
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?EconomyYesResolved$012¢100¢+$3
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢0.7¢+$3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$12.9¢8.8¢+$2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$238¢66¢+$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes-$00.0¢8.8¢+$3
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.5¢+$3
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$00.2¢3.0¢+$2
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢100¢+$2
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$00.0¢0.9¢+$2
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$01.1¢12¢+$2
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?WeatherYes-$1-4.1¢13¢+$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?TechNoResolved$280¢100¢+$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢0.5¢+$2
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.1¢+$3
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.1¢+$3
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.1¢+$3
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.1¢+$3
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.1¢+$3
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.4¢+$2
Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBANoResolved$2100¢100¢+$0
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢3.5¢+$2
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$13.4¢10¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 24?WeatherNoResolved$167¢100¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYesResolved$161¢100¢+$1
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.1¢+$3
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.1¢+$3
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.1¢+$3
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.1¢+$3
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$1-0.1¢0.1¢+$3
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢0.4¢+$2
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.3¢+$2
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.1¢+$6
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.1¢+$6
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$4-0.1¢0.1¢+$6
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$04.5¢100¢+$2
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.4¢+$2
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.4¢+$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$013¢100¢+$1
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$03.0¢75¢+$2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$011¢100¢+$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$017¢90¢+$1
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$01.5¢100¢+$2
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢2.5¢+$2
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$00.0¢1.3¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢1.7¢+$1
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢3.6¢+$1
Will the New York Islanders win the Metropolitan Division?NHLNoResolved$178¢100¢+$0
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Metropolitan Division?NHLNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?NHLNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢3.5¢+$1
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.1¢1.4¢+$1
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢2.3¢+$1
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.0¢0.3¢+$1
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢0.4¢+$1
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.3¢100¢+$1
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes-$0-0.1¢2.9¢+$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes-$95-26.1¢0.3¢+$96
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$191¢100¢+$0
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$02.8¢100¢+$1
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.1¢1.1¢+$1
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.2¢0.0¢+$1
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?TechNoResolved$930¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 2?WeatherYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Szymon Gumularz win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$14K
Other sports-$6.5K
MLB-$4.4K
NFL-$1.1K
NBA+$585
Culture-$238
Soccer (other)+$221
Crypto-$116
Tennis+$95
Economy+$62
Tech+$52
Weather-$46
Biggest hit
+$6.6K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Toughest beat
-$8.7K
Pirates vs. Phillies