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RepublicOfChina

Predicting since Jan 2024866 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.2K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $5.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$1.2K66¢87¢+$364
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K70¢89¢+$290
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$38856¢71¢+$99
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$14578¢87¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$14659¢57¢-$4
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$11558¢60¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$11649¢44¢-$14
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$11061¢57¢-$7
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$8473¢89¢+$18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$8135¢42¢+$15
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$7173¢87¢+$13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8350¢44¢-$10
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$6456¢64¢+$9
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$6159¢61¢+$1
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$5077¢86¢+$6
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3559¢77¢+$11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$2864¢91¢+$12
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7242¢22¢-$35
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5438¢26¢-$17
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsYes$3934¢31¢-$4
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$4814¢9.5¢-$16
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?PoliticsYes$3770¢48¢-$12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2084¢96¢+$3
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsNo$1875¢91¢+$4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$191.7¢1.6¢-$2
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsYes$3825¢10¢-$22
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1140¢55¢+$4
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$947¢80¢+$6
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$862¢89¢+$4
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$3256¢20¢-$21
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$981¢96¢+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$769¢99¢+$3
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$330¢87¢+$6
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$760¢84¢+$3
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNo$659¢90¢+$3
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$6451¢7.0¢-$55
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$735¢38¢+$1
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1715¢6.5¢-$10
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsYes$755¢55¢-$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$544¢57¢+$2
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsYes$566¢87¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsYes$568¢67¢-$0
Love Wins: 2026 EditionCultureYes$330¢47¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?PoliticsNo$488¢96¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$591¢94¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$475¢94¢+$1
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$475¢89¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1412¢2.6¢-$11
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$631¢15¢-$3
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsYes$2984¢3.8¢-$27
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.6¢0.7¢+$0
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3968¢0.0¢-$39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4338¢0.0¢-$43
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? TechYesResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$105.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$7736¢0.0¢-$77
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$140.4¢0.0¢-$14
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?PoliticsYesResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$261.2¢0.0¢-$26
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsYesResolved$6355¢0.0¢-$63
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$980¢0.0¢-$9
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2421¢0.0¢-$24
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$2123¢0.0¢-$21
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?PoliticsYesResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsNoResolved$7462¢0.0¢-$74
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsNoResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$38.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?PoliticsYesResolved$4841¢0.0¢-$48
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$1819¢0.0¢-$18
Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsNoResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1161¢0.0¢-$11
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$7855¢0.0¢-$78
Xi Jinping out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$87.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$4640¢0.0¢-$46
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$197.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$2118¢0.0¢-$21
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$11048¢0.0¢-$110
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12329¢0.0¢-$123
Will a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?PoliticsNoResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$6153¢0.0¢-$61
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2118¢0.0¢-$21
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?PoliticsNoResolved$5245¢0.0¢-$52
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?PoliticsNoResolved$1087¢0.0¢-$10
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$2663¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)MentionsNoResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Yoon in jail before August?PoliticsNoResolved$3934¢0.0¢-$39
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$3955¢0.0¢-$39
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? PoliticsNoResolved$7061¢0.0¢-$70
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$454.3¢0.0¢-$45
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$3934¢0.0¢-$39
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$954¢0.0¢-$9
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$1363¢0.0¢-$13
Will the Conservative Party of Japan loose any seats in Japanese snap election?PoliticsNoResolved$7313¢0.0¢-$73
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$4026¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.2K
eSports-$203
Olympics+$130
World Cup-$100
Culture-$83
Premier League-$74
Champions League-$64
Tech-$50
Mentions+$49
Other-$33
MLB-$25
Finance+$14
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$2.3K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$402h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$1835h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$55h ago
  • Cashed out No · Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$105h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115h ago
  • Cashed out No · Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$205h ago
  • Cashed out Under · Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5$295h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$1935h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$152d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$1173d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$974d ago
  • Sold France vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$186d ago