← Whale Watch

nomantoo

Predicting since Jun 2026613 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.5K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$14240¢33¢-$28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7088¢92¢+$3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$453.6¢4.9¢+$15
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5695¢99¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5058¢67¢+$8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$5032¢30¢-$3
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$4588¢87¢-$1
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoNo$2471¢88¢+$6
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3082¢80¢-$1
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?eSportsNo$2992¢92¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$2484¢93¢+$2
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$2590¢93¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$2595¢97¢+$1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam Vitality$1358¢100¢+$9
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$2098¢98¢-$0
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$1999¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$821¢50¢+$11
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoYes$2073¢65¢-$2
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$2034¢27¢-$4
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$1847¢42¢-$2
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$1643¢41¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1173¢98¢+$4
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$153.4¢3.3¢-$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$106.2¢8.3¢+$3
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?TechYes$833¢50¢+$4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$852¢73¢+$3
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢97¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$846¢56¢+$2
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?PoliticsYes$1023¢23¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$884¢93¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$880¢88¢+$1
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$878¢81¢+$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$55.3¢8.5¢+$3
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$840¢40¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$557¢88¢+$3
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$839¢38¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$881¢78¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$879¢75¢-$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$1024¢18¢-$3
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$222¢91¢+$5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnereSportsMovistar KOI$691¢100¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$518¢23¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$576¢94¢+$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4138¢5.5¢-$35
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$878¢56¢-$2
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$585¢91¢+$0
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$524¢25¢+$0
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?CryptoNo$587¢93¢+$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$594¢96¢+$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$594¢96¢+$0
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsYes$510¢10¢+$0
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?PoliticsNo$596¢96¢-$0
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?CultureNo$559¢58¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$588¢85¢-$0
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$570¢61¢-$1
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?CryptoYes$542¢35¢-$1
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?PoliticsNo$496¢100¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$172.9¢0.7¢-$14
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsYes$540¢31¢-$1
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsFluxo W7M$389¢93¢+$0
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasoneSportsTeam Vitality$246¢72¢+$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$521¢12¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1047¢14¢-$7
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$521¢13¢-$2
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢6.0¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$1022¢4.9¢-$8
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$534¢14¢-$3
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?PoliticsYes$274¢70¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$20.7¢0.5¢-$1
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoYes$537¢12¢-$3
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$47.1¢2.7¢-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$52.2¢0.5¢-$4
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$150¢53¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120¢20¢+$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?CryptoNo$195¢96¢+$0
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnereSportsInner CircleResolved$617¢0.0¢-$6
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?World CupYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?World CupYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?World CupNoResolved$10170¢0.0¢-$101
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 29?FinanceYesResolved$199¢0.0¢-$1
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$1073¢0.0¢-$10
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnereSportsTYLOOResolved$3054¢0.0¢-$30
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsEDward GamingResolved$4833¢0.0¢-$48
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Korea Republic?World CupYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$41.1¢0.0¢-$4
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?World CupYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9118¢0.0¢-$91
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$435.9¢0.0¢-$43

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.5K
eSports+$1.4K
World Cup+$1.4K
Crypto+$433
Mentions-$36
MLB-$28
Tech-$16
Tennis+$13
Culture-$10
NBA-$8
Economy+$4
Finance-$4
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Toughest beat
-$217
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Recent moves

  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$12m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$15m ago
  • Bought Fluxo W7M · LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner$39m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$130m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$130m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$134m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$135m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$338m ago
  • Sold Movistar KOI · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$141m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$341m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$143m ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$143m ago