 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$499 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 88¢ | 82¢ | -$198 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$590 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.7K | 58¢ | 81¢ | +$685 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$427 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 53¢ | 57¢ | +$190 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$217 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$237 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$130 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$130 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$150 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$52 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $1.0K | 52¢ | 61¢ | +$175 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$48 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$41 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $781 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$217 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $940 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$51 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $422 | 42¢ | 98¢ | +$564 |
 Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Politics | Yes | $853 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$127 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$55 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $938 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$36 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $946 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$27 |
 Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $868 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$103 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $604 | 60¢ | 96¢ | +$358 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $990 | 33¢ | 32¢ | -$30 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | Yes | $940 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $940 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $827 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$118 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $767 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$170 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $770 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$145 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $887 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $577 | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$313 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $554 | 55¢ | 88¢ | +$321 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 53¢ | 44¢ | -$188 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $860 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $680 | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$110 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $668 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$96 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | No | $660 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$77 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $624 | 62¢ | 74¢ | +$112 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $598 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$100 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $606 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$58 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $578 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$60 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $561 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$73 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $700 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$70 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $610 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $520 | 69¢ | 82¢ | +$94 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?Economy | Yes | $486 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$125 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $546 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$42 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $602 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$17 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Politics | No | $600 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$19 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $638 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$73 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $633 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$68 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $438 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$123 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $518 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$22 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $536 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $533 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $525 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $416 | 42¢ | 52¢ | +$99 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $417 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$82 |
 Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $445 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$50 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $369 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$124 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $448 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$32 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $427 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$50 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $250 | 46¢ | 88¢ | +$224 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $436 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$32 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $393 | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$72 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $450 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $369 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$91 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $245 | 29¢ | 54¢ | +$213 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $368 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$90 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $440 | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $428 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$27 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $503 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$64 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $366 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$72 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $337 | 45¢ | 57¢ | +$97 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $263 | 26¢ | 43¢ | +$171 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $265 | 53¢ | 84¢ | +$154 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $393 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$19 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 16¢ | 82¢ | +$329 |
| Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $360 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$42 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $295 | 59¢ | 79¢ | +$98 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $251 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$139 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $405 | 54¢ | 51¢ | -$23 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $405 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$22 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $311 | 62¢ | 74¢ | +$56 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Politics | No | $334 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$28 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $618 | 72¢ | 41¢ | -$271 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $297 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$47 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $297 | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$41 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 6.7¢ | 64¢ | +$284 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $101 | 20¢ | 61¢ | +$205 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $250 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$52 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $327 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$31 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $400 | 60¢ | 43¢ | -$114 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $293 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$20 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $214 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$56 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $124 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$141 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $282 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$27 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $216 | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$35 |
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