 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5.0K | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$5.0K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 64¢ | 86¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$650 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$637 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $2.4K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$60 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 41¢ | 61¢ | +$592 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$206 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 58¢ | 52¢ | -$200 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $1.3K | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$177 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$38 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$53 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $767 | 51¢ | 85¢ | +$500 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $960 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $860 | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$130 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $422 | 42¢ | 98¢ | +$555 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$55 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Politics | No | $959 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $604 | 60¢ | 96¢ | +$361 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $940 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$24 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $965 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $870 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$75 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$15 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $820 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$115 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $900 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$15 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $860 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$30 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | Yes | $860 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$15 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $700 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$155 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $695 | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$155 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $765 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$38 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $730 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$60 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $778 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$12 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $455 | 46¢ | 79¢ | +$330 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $827 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$52 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $829 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$80 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $618 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$98 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $696 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$18 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $598 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$113 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | No | $591 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$114 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $673 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$28 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $345 | 43¢ | 88¢ | +$355 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $546 | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$151 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $593 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$101 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $741 | 49¢ | 46¢ | -$59 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $662 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $638 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$27 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Politics | No | $603 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$56 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $602 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$53 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $561 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$88 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $577 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$63 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $600 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$34 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $263 | 26¢ | 63¢ | +$363 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 2.6¢ | 61¢ | +$579 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $578 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
 Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Premier League | Yes | $585 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $586 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $527 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$50 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $543 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$30 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $464 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$72 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $504 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$21 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $520 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $250 | 46¢ | 95¢ | +$262 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $572 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$66 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $225 | 22¢ | 51¢ | +$280 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $531 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$29 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?La Liga | Yes | $570 | 76¢ | 67¢ | -$71 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $455 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$36 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $416 | 42¢ | 49¢ | +$74 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $339 | 68¢ | 98¢ | +$152 |
 Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Tennis | No | $454 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $345 | 43¢ | 58¢ | +$125 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $366 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$82 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $447 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $452 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$18 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $419 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $297 | 59¢ | 86¢ | +$133 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $420 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$8 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $265 | 53¢ | 85¢ | +$159 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | No | $361 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$59 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 16¢ | 83¢ | +$336 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | No | $253 | 46¢ | 76¢ | +$162 |
 Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $360 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$37 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $403 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$5 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $348 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$40 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $438 | 88¢ | 76¢ | -$58 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $359 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$16 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Politics | No | $324 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$46 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $533 | 71¢ | 49¢ | -$168 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $101 | 20¢ | 72¢ | +$260 |
 Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $331 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$26 |
 Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsTennis | No | $277 | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$60 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $400 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$65 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | Yes | $370 | 67¢ | 61¢ | -$37 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 6.7¢ | 66¢ | +$294 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $308 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$12 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $269 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$44 |
 Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Tech | No | $303 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
| Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsTennis | No | $259 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$45 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $222 | 73¢ | 97¢ | +$73 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $318 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$23 |
Cashed out Over · Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5$03h ago
Cashed out Alexander Blockx · US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx$03h ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$94h ago