| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $904 | 61¢ | 40¢ | -$313 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $543 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$15 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $454 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$50 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $498 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$21 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $383 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$67 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $399 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $368 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $307 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$72 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $334 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$44 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $342 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$24 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $330 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $318 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$9 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $311 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $300 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$13 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $303 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $307 | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$5 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBA | No | $251 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$49 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $259 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$23 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $226 | 56¢ | 69¢ | +$52 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $264 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $252 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $245 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $215 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$37 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $192 | 53¢ | 68¢ | +$53 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $246 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $204 | 51¢ | 58¢ | +$28 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $211 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$10 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $124 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$96 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $228 | 41¢ | 38¢ | -$16 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $314 | 78¢ | 53¢ | -$102 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $175 | 25¢ | 29¢ | +$28 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?Finance | No | $186 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $181 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $178 | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $130 | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$55 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $157 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$26 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $130 | 33¢ | 46¢ | +$52 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $95 | 48¢ | 89¢ | +$83 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?Finance | No | $161 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$16 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $168 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $157 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$13 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $182 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$14 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $180 | 45¢ | 40¢ | -$22 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $188 | 94¢ | 78¢ | -$33 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $181 | 72¢ | 61¢ | -$29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $157 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$8 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Crypto | No | $143 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $53 | 12¢ | 35¢ | +$95 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $219 | 73¢ | 47¢ | -$80 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $139 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $143 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$14 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $175 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$47 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $145 | 58¢ | 51¢ | -$18 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $119 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $126 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$6 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $88 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $100 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $103 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $89 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$11 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports | No | $52 | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$48 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $70 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?Crypto | No | $87 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Crypto | No | $88 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $93 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $90 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $98 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $91 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $89 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $86 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $84 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $86 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $43 | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$37 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $62 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $79 | 40¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $86 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$8 |
 Will Netflix win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $80 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $78 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $76 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $55 | 55¢ | 76¢ | +$21 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$5 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$5 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $70 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 80¢ | 72¢ | -$9 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | No | $60 | 30¢ | 36¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$342h ago
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