 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 44¢ | 60¢ | +$412 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$213 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$178 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$97 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $969 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $563 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$54 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $435 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$101 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $526 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $528 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $370 | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$133 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $432 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$55 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $315 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$47 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $282 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $268 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $233 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $192 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$49 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $206 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$32 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $233 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $168 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$28 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $196 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $165 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $154 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $190 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$8 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $180 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $152 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$27 |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $152 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$14 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $125 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $88 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$38 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $570 | 83¢ | 18¢ | -$446 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $161 | 75¢ | 56¢ | -$40 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $106 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$14 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $117 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $115 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $99 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $54 | 54¢ | 88¢ | +$33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $73 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $100 | 85¢ | 57¢ | -$32 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Politics | No | $8 | 11¢ | 69¢ | +$46 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?Weather | No | $56 | 93¢ | 69¢ | -$15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $28 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $36 | 72¢ | 64¢ | -$4 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$4 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | Yes | $11 | 97¢ | 47¢ | -$6 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 10¢ | -$8 |
 Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $58 | 7.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$56 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $664 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$664 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $218 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$218 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $447 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$447 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $290 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |