 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 44¢ | 86¢ | +$1.1K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$142 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$147 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $969 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$36 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $717 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$48 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $646 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$84 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $435 | 60¢ | 82¢ | +$151 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $526 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $495 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$51 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $432 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$80 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $315 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$65 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $281 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$84 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics | No | $376 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$19 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $239 | 65¢ | 83¢ | +$64 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $288 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $268 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$16 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $188 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$94 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | No | $265 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$16 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | No | $252 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $202 | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$72 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $230 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$38 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | No | $279 | 78¢ | 69¢ | -$32 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $213 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $183 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$19 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $152 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$32 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $180 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | No | $159 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $173 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $131 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $127 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$12 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $125 | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $125 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$6 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $110 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 56¢ | 88¢ | +$40 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $106 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Politics | No | $94 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $95 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $59 | 63¢ | 95¢ | +$30 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $83 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $118 | 64¢ | 45¢ | -$36 |
| Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | No | $78 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $70 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $74 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$18 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $66 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?Politics | No | $65 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $109 | 45¢ | 25¢ | -$49 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $47 | 65¢ | 77¢ | +$9 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Politics | No | $47 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Politics | No | $45 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $58 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$24 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?Tech | No | $31 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $27 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$11 |
 Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 83¢ | 17¢ | -$19 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $664 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$664 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $138 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $218 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$218 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $447 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$447 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $21 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $290 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Cashed out No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$1009h ago
Sold No · Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?$2510h ago
Cashed out Down · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?$3417h ago