← Whale Watch

tms1337

Predicting since May 2021134 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2551¢63¢+$6
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$2055¢63¢+$3
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$2093¢93¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$5017¢6.5¢-$31
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$2526¢12¢-$13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$3511¢3.1¢-$25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2542¢15¢-$16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$205.0¢1.5¢-$14
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2011¢2.6¢-$15
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsYes$1534¢11¢-$10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2013¢2.6¢-$16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$1563¢14¢-$12
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1029¢8.5¢-$7
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$56.9¢3.6¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1018¢2.6¢-$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1069¢9.0¢-$9
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$2025¢0.0¢-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Knicks vs. HawksNBAHawksResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5NBAUnderResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$100.4¢0.0¢-$10
Utah vs. Golden KnightsNHLUtahResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$552.1¢0.0¢-$55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3016¢0.0¢-$30
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$3023¢0.0¢-$30
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1519¢0.0¢-$15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$204.2¢0.0¢-$20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?PoliticsYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$190.8¢0.0¢-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$250.9¢0.0¢-$25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.9¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)NBAKnicksResolved$2033¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2543¢0.0¢-$25
Raptors vs. CavaliersNBARaptorsResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$250.2¢0.0¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$9041¢0.0¢-$90
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)NBACavaliersResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$102.7¢0.0¢-$10
Rockets vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$2572¢0.0¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3021¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$268
Tech-$243
Economy-$90
Finance+$11
NBA+$6
NHL-$5
Biggest hit
+$167
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$351mo ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by June 30?$311mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$201mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$71mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$231mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$891mo ago